West Ham vs Arsenal
West Ham
#18 · Premier League
LWDWD
VS
London Stadium, London
Arsenal
#1 · Premier League
WDWLD
★ OUR PICK
Arsenal to Win
Solid away form and superior underlying numbers over West Ham make Arsenal the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.68
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Arsenal to Win. Our model calculates a 54.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , West Ham will face Arsenal in the Premier League at London Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that West Ham has a 25% probability of winning this match. Arsenal has a 54.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Arsenal sit 1st in the table, 17 places above their opponents
- Arsenal have a solid defence with 0.7 goals conceded per game
- Arsenal have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Arsenal54.3%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.3%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%1.69
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-2
7.50
13.4%
1-1
7.49
13.4%
0-1
7.60
13.2%
0-2
8.01
12.5%
1-3
11.28
9%
0-3
12.00
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 5.19 | Draw 4.08 | Away 1.61 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.68 | Under 2.18 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.21 | Under 4.19 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.68 | Under 1.44 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.69 | No 2.08 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.27 | 12 1.22 | X2 1.16 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.4%
Over 1.5 Goals77.6%
Over 2.5 Goals53.3%
Over 3.5 Goals34.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67 | 26 | 41 | 76 | WWLLW |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 71 | DWWWD |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 | WWWLD |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 58 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 58 | LLWDW |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 52 | WDWWD |
| 18 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 36 | LWDWL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Wolves | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | DLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonWest HamArsenal
1.47Goals p.g.1.73
1.29Goals conceded p.g.0.73
35%Clean sheets50%
41%Win rate59%
2.76Avg goals in match2.45
Recent Results
West HamLAST MATCHES
02 MayBrentford3–0West HamPremier League
25 AprWest Ham2–1EvertonPremier League
20 AprCrystal Palace0–0West HamPremier League
10 AprWest Ham4–0WolvesPremier League
05 AprWest Ham2–2LeedsFA Cup
22 MarAston Villa2–0West HamPremier League
7Win41%
6Draw35%
4Lost24%
LAST MATCHESArsenal
02 MayArsenal3–0FulhamPremier League
29 AprAtletico Madrid1–1ArsenalUEFA Champions League
25 AprArsenal1–0NewcastlePremier League
19 AprManchester City2–1ArsenalPremier League
15 AprArsenal0–0Sporting CPUEFA Champions League
11 AprArsenal1–2BournemouthPremier League
13Win59%
5Draw23%
4Lost18%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWest Ham
No reported absences
Arsenal
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
West Ham Win5.19 (25%)
Arsenal Win1.61 (54.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.68 (53.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.18 (46.7%)
Both Teams Score1.69 (53.9%)
BTTS No2.08 (46.1%)
Speculative
Draw4.08 (20.7%)
