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Sunderland vs Manchester United

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 36
Sunderland
#12 · Premier League
DLLWW
VS
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Manchester United
#3 · Premier League
WWWLD
28.7%
Home Win
22%
Draw
49.2%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Sunderland will face Manchester United in the Premier League at Stadium of Light.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sunderland has a 28.7% probability of winning this match. Manchester United has a 49.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Manchester United have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Manchester United sit 3rd in the table, 9 places above their opponents

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — Manchester United49.2%1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.4%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.4%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.80
14.8%
0-1
7.90
12.7%
1-2
7.95
12.7%
0-2
9.50
10.6%
2-1
11.75
8.6%
1-0
11.98
8.4%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 3.81Draw 3.66Away 1.91
O/U 2.5Over 1.75Under 2.07
O/U 1.5Over 1.23Under 3.96
O/U 3.5Over 2.81Under 1.41
BTTSYes 1.65No 2.14
Double Chance1X 1.8912 1.26X2 1.25

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
33.4%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Arsenal
35237567264176
WWLLW
2
Manchester City
34218569323771
DWWWD
3
Manchester United
351810763481564
WWWLD
4
Liverpool
351771159471258
LWWWL
5
Aston Villa
35177114844458
LLWDW
6
Bournemouth
35121675552352
WDWWD
12
Sunderland
351211123746-947
DLLWW
18
West Ham
3599174261-1936
LWDWL
19
Burnley
3548233571-3620
LLLLL
20
Wolves
3539232563-3818
DLLLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
SunderlandManchester United
1.06Goals p.g.1.88
1.56Goals conceded p.g.1.25
25%Clean sheets25%
38%Win rate62%
2.62Avg goals in match3.12

Recent Results

SunderlandLAST MATCHES
02 MayWolves1–1SunderlandPremier League
24 AprSunderland0–5Nottingham ForestPremier League
19 AprAston Villa4–3SunderlandPremier League
12 AprSunderland1–0TottenhamPremier League
22 MarNewcastle1–2SunderlandPremier League
14 MarSunderland0–1BrightonPremier League
6Win38%
2Draw13%
8Lost50%
LAST MATCHESManchester United
03 MayManchester United3–2LiverpoolPremier League
27 AprManchester United2–1BrentfordPremier League
18 AprChelsea0–1Manchester UnitedPremier League
13 AprManchester United1–2LeedsPremier League
20 MarBournemouth2–2Manchester UnitedPremier League
15 MarManchester United3–1Aston VillaPremier League
10Win63%
3Draw19%
3Lost19%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Sunderland

No reported absences

Manchester United

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Both Teams Score1.65 (56.4%)
●Value Bets
Sunderland Win3.81 (28.7%)
Manchester United Win1.91 (49.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.75 (54.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.07 (45.6%)
BTTS No2.14 (43.6%)
●Speculative
Draw3.66 (22%)
Sunderland vs Manchester United Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 May 2026 | SureTipsPro