Manchester City vs Brentford

Manchester City
#2 · Premier League
DWWWW
VS
Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Brentford
#7 · Premier League
WLDDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Manchester City will face Brentford in the Premier League at Etihad Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Manchester City has a 65.5% probability of winning this match. Brentford has a 17.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Manchester City are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Manchester City65.5%1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.560.6%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.5%1.62
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.97
12.6%
2-0
8.15
12.3%
3-1
9.60
10.5%
3-0
9.61
10.5%
1-0
9.93
10.1%
1-1
10.40
9.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.34 | Draw 5.44 | Away 7.57 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.38 | Under 2.89 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.10 | Under 6.04 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.03 | Under 1.79 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.62 | No 2.20 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.09 | 12 1.13 | X2 3.17 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.3%
Over 1.5 Goals84.5%
Over 2.5 Goals60.6%
Over 3.5 Goals46.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67 | 26 | 41 | 76 | WWLLW | |
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 71 | DWWWD | |
| 3 | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 | WWWLD | |
| 4 | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 58 | LWWWL | |
| 5 | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 58 | LLWDW | |
| 6 | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 52 | WDWWD | |
| 7 | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 51 | WLDDD | |
| 18 | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 36 | LWDWL | |
| 19 | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 20 | LLLLL | |
| 20 | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | DLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonManchester CityBrentford
1.95Goals p.g.1.25
0.9Goals conceded p.g.1.25
38%Clean sheets38%
67%Win rate31%
2.86Avg goals in match2.5
Recent Results
Manchester CityLAST MATCHES
04 MayEverton3–3Manchester CityPremier League
25 AprManchester City2–1SouthamptonFA Cup
22 AprBurnley0–1Manchester CityPremier League
19 AprManchester City2–1ArsenalPremier League
12 AprChelsea0–3Manchester CityPremier League
04 AprManchester City4–0LiverpoolFA Cup
14Win67%
4Draw19%
2Lost10%
LAST MATCHESBrentford
02 MayBrentford3–0West HamPremier League
27 AprManchester United2–1BrentfordPremier League
18 AprBrentford0–0FulhamPremier League
11 AprBrentford2–2EvertonPremier League
21 MarLeeds0–0BrentfordPremier League
16 MarBrentford2–2WolvesPremier League
5Win31%
7Draw44%
4Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Manchester City
No reported absences
Brentford
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Manchester City Win1.34 (65.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.38 (60.6%)
Both Teams Score1.62 (55.5%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.89 (39.4%)
BTTS No2.20 (44.5%)
Speculative
Draw5.44 (17.2%)
Brentford Win7.57 (17.3%)









