Manchester City vs Brentford

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 36
Manchester City
#2 · Premier League
DWWWW
VS
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Brentford
#7 · Premier League
WLDDD
65.5%
Home Win
17.2%
Draw
17.3%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Manchester City will face Brentford in the Premier League at Etihad Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Manchester City has a 65.5% probability of winning this match. Brentford has a 17.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.2%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Manchester City are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Strong confidence
Match Result
1 — Manchester City65.5%1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.560.6%1.38
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-1
7.97
12.6%
2-0
8.15
12.3%
3-1
9.60
10.5%
3-0
9.61
10.5%
1-0
9.93
10.1%
1-1
10.40
9.7%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.34Draw 5.44Away 7.57
O/U 2.5Over 1.38Under 2.89
O/U 1.5Over 1.10Under 6.04
O/U 3.5Over 2.03Under 1.79
BTTSYes 1.62No 2.20
Double Chance1X 1.0912 1.13X2 3.17

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
95.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
84.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
60.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
46.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Arsenal
35237567264176
WWLLW
2
Manchester City
34218569323771
DWWWD
3
Manchester United
351810763481564
WWWLD
4
Liverpool
351771159471258
LWWWL
5
Aston Villa
35177114844458
LLWDW
6
Bournemouth
35121675552352
WDWWD
7
Brentford
35149125246651
WLDDD
18
West Ham
3599174261-1936
LWDWL
19
Burnley
3548233571-3620
LLLLL
20
Wolves
3539232563-3818
DLLLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Manchester CityBrentford
1.95Goals p.g.1.25
0.9Goals conceded p.g.1.25
38%Clean sheets38%
67%Win rate31%
2.86Avg goals in match2.5

Recent Results

Manchester CityLAST MATCHES
04 MayEverton33Manchester CityPremier League
25 AprManchester City21SouthamptonFA Cup
22 AprBurnley01Manchester CityPremier League
19 AprManchester City21ArsenalPremier League
12 AprChelsea03Manchester CityPremier League
04 AprManchester City40LiverpoolFA Cup
14Win67%
4Draw19%
2Lost10%
LAST MATCHESBrentford
02 MayBrentford30West HamPremier League
27 AprManchester United21BrentfordPremier League
18 AprBrentford00FulhamPremier League
11 AprBrentford22EvertonPremier League
21 MarLeeds00BrentfordPremier League
16 MarBrentford22WolvesPremier League
5Win31%
7Draw44%
4Lost25%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Manchester City

No reported absences

Brentford

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High Probability
Manchester City Win1.34 (65.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.38 (60.6%)
Both Teams Score1.62 (55.5%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.89 (39.4%)
BTTS No2.20 (44.5%)
Speculative
Draw5.44 (17.2%)
Brentford Win7.57 (17.3%)
Manchester City vs Brentford Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 May 2026 | SureTipsPro