Fulham vs Bournemouth

Fulham
#11 · Premier League
LWDLW
VS
Craven Cottage, London

Bournemouth
#6 · Premier League
WDWWD
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.58
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Fulham will face Bournemouth in the Premier League at Craven Cottage.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Fulham has a 36.1% probability of winning this match. Bournemouth has a 41.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Bournemouth have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Bournemouth41.4%2.41
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.4%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.9%1.45
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.12
14.1%
1-2
8.99
11.2%
2-1
9.53
10.6%
2-2
10.30
9.8%
0-1
11.10
9.1%
1-0
11.86
8.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.68 | Draw 3.62 | Away 2.41 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.54 | Under 2.40 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 4.87 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.34 | Under 1.60 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.45 | No 2.59 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.55 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.44 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.4%
Over 1.5 Goals80.9%
Over 2.5 Goals54.4%
Over 3.5 Goals40.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67 | 26 | 41 | 76 | WWLLW | |
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 71 | DWWWD | |
| 3 | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 | WWWLD | |
| 4 | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 58 | LWWWL | |
| 5 | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 58 | LLWDW | |
| 6 | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 52 | WDWWD | |
| 11 | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 48 | LWDLW | |
| 18 | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 36 | LWDWL | |
| 19 | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 20 | LLLLL | |
| 20 | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | DLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFulhamBournemouth
1Goals p.g.1.62
1.31Goals conceded p.g.1
19%Clean sheets31%
38%Win rate44%
2.31Avg goals in match2.62
Recent Results
FulhamLAST MATCHES
02 MayArsenal3–0FulhamPremier League
25 AprFulham1–0Aston VillaPremier League
18 AprBrentford0–0FulhamPremier League
11 AprLiverpool2–0FulhamPremier League
21 MarFulham3–1BurnleyPremier League
15 MarNottingham Forest0–0FulhamPremier League
6Win38%
2Draw13%
8Lost50%
LAST MATCHESBournemouth
03 MayBournemouth3–0Crystal PalacePremier League
22 AprBournemouth2–2LeedsPremier League
18 AprNewcastle1–2BournemouthPremier League
11 AprArsenal1–2BournemouthPremier League
20 MarBournemouth2–2Manchester UnitedPremier League
14 MarBurnley0–0BournemouthPremier League
7Win44%
9Draw56%
0Lost0%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Fulham
No reported absences
Bournemouth
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.45 (57.9%)
Value Bets
Fulham Win2.68 (36.1%)
Bournemouth Win2.41 (41.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.54 (54.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.40 (45.6%)
BTTS No2.59 (42.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.62 (22.6%)









