Brighton vs Wolves

Brighton
#8 · Premier League
LWDWW
VS
Amex Stadium, Brighton

Wolves
#20 · Premier League
DLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.95
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.88 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 51.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Brighton will face Wolves in the Premier League at Amex Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Brighton has a 72.6% probability of winning this match. Wolves has a 10.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 16.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Brighton have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Brighton sit 8th in the table, 12 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Brighton72.6%1.28
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555%1.50
Both Teams to Score
No51%1.88
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
6.70
15%
1-0
7.98
12.6%
3-0
8.10
12.4%
2-1
8.18
12.3%
3-1
9.97
10.1%
1-1
10.26
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.28 | Draw 5.72 | Away 9.35 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.50 | Under 2.50 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.14 | Under 5.16 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.29 | Under 1.63 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.87 | No 1.88 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.06 | 12 1.13 | X2 3.58 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.1%
Over 1.5 Goals81.9%
Over 2.5 Goals55%
Over 3.5 Goals41.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67 | 26 | 41 | 76 | WWLLW | |
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 71 | DWWWD | |
| 3 | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 | WWWLD | |
| 4 | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 58 | LWWWL | |
| 5 | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 58 | LLWDW | |
| 6 | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 52 | WDWWD | |
| 8 | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 50 | LWDWW | |
| 18 | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 36 | LWDWL | |
| 19 | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 20 | LLLLL | |
| 20 | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | DLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBrightonWolves
1.25Goals p.g.0.8
1.12Goals conceded p.g.1.67
25%Clean sheets20%
44%Win rate20%
2.38Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
BrightonLAST MATCHES
02 MayNewcastle3–1BrightonPremier League
21 AprBrighton3–0ChelseaPremier League
18 AprTottenham2–2BrightonPremier League
11 AprBurnley0–2BrightonPremier League
21 MarBrighton2–1LiverpoolPremier League
14 MarSunderland0–1BrightonPremier League
7Win44%
3Draw19%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESWolves
02 MayWolves1–1SunderlandPremier League
25 AprWolves0–1TottenhamPremier League
18 AprLeeds3–0WolvesPremier League
10 AprWest Ham4–0WolvesPremier League
16 MarBrentford2–2WolvesPremier League
06 MarWolves1–3LiverpoolFA Cup
3Win20%
4Draw27%
8Lost53%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Brighton
No reported absences
Wolves
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Brighton Win1.28 (72.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.50 (55%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.50 (45%)
Both Teams Score1.87 (49%)
BTTS No1.88 (51%)
Speculative
Draw5.72 (16.9%)
Wolves Win9.35 (10.5%)









