AVS vs FC Porto
AVS
#18 · Primeira Liga
WDDDL
VS
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
FC Porto
#1 · Primeira Liga
WWDWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 54.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , AVS will face FC Porto in the Primeira Liga at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that AVS has a 17% probability of winning this match. FC Porto has a 67.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 15.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FC Porto have won 3 of their last 5 games
- FC Porto sit 1st in the table, 17 places above their opponents
- FC Porto have a solid defence with 0.8 goals conceded per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
2 — FC Porto67.7%1.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556%1.47
Both Teams to Score
No54.9%1.69
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-2
6.19
16.3%
0-3
6.77
14.9%
0-1
7.56
13.3%
1-2
8.76
11.5%
0-4
9.72
10.5%
1-3
9.78
10.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 12.86 | Draw 6.56 | Away 1.20 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.47 | Under 2.56 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.14 | Under 5.16 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.21 | Under 1.65 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.07 | No 1.69 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 4.49 | 12 1.10 | X2 1.03 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.3%
Over 1.5 Goals81.9%
Over 2.5 Goals56%
Over 3.5 Goals42.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64 | 15 | 49 | 85 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 76 | DWWWD |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 76 | WDDLW |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 57 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 52 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 50 | DWLDW |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 56 | -27 | 26 | LLLDL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 25 | WDLLD |
| 18 | AVS | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24 | 66 | -42 | 17 | WDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAVSFC Porto
0.88Goals p.g.1.64
1.65Goals conceded p.g.0.77
24%Clean sheets36%
12%Win rate59%
2.53Avg goals in match2.41
Recent Results
AVSLAST MATCHES
02 MayNacional1–2AVSPrimeira Liga
26 AprAVS1–1Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
17 AprRio Ave2–2AVSPrimeira Liga
11 AprAVS1–1GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
03 AprGIL Vicente3–0AVSPrimeira Liga
21 MarTondela0–0AVSPrimeira Liga
2Win12%
7Draw41%
8Lost47%
LAST MATCHESFC Porto
02 MayFC Porto1–0AlvercaPrimeira Liga
26 AprEstrela1–2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
22 AprFC Porto0–0Sporting CPTaça de Portugal
19 AprFC Porto2–0TondelaPrimeira Liga
16 AprNottingham Forest1–0FC PortoUEFA Europa League
12 AprEstoril1–3FC PortoPrimeira Liga
13Win59%
6Draw27%
3Lost14%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAVS
No reported absences
FC Porto
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
FC Porto Win1.20 (67.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.47 (56%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.56 (44%)
Both Teams Score2.07 (45.1%)
BTTS No1.69 (54.9%)
Speculative
AVS Win12.86 (17%)
Draw6.56 (15.3%)
