Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
#1 · Ligue 1
DWWWL
VS
Parc des Princes, Paris
Referee: J. Brisard
Stade Brestois 29
#12 · Ligue 1
LDDLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.98
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.90 (implied 52.7%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.9% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.86. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Paris Saint Germain will face Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 at Parc des Princes.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Paris Saint Germain has a 76.3% probability of winning this match. Stade Brestois 29 has a 10.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 13.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Paris Saint Germain have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in the table, 11 places above their opponents
- Paris Saint Germain average 2.5 goals per game
- Paris Saint Germain have kept clean sheets in 48% of their matches
- With a combined average of 3.8 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Paris Saint Germain76.3%1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.567.6%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%1.90
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
7.18
14%
3-0
7.23
13.9%
2-1
9.11
11.1%
4-0
9.48
10.6%
3-1
9.55
10.5%
1-0
9.96
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.16 | Draw 7.61 | Away 14.53 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.32 | Under 3.19 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.08 | Under 6.91 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.87 | Under 1.93 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.90 | No 1.84 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.03 | 12 1.08 | X2 5.16 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.7%
Over 1.5 Goals86.4%
Over 2.5 Goals67.6%
Over 3.5 Goals50.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 |  Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 12 | Stade Brestois 29 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonParis Saint GermainStade Brestois 29
2.52Goals p.g.1.31
1.1Goals conceded p.g.1.56
48%Clean sheets31%
71%Win rate31%
3.62Avg goals in match2.88
Recent Results
Paris Saint GermainLAST MATCHES
02 MayParis Saint Germain2–2LorientLigue 1
28 AprParis Saint Germain5–4Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League
25 AprAngers0–3Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
22 AprParis Saint Germain3–0NantesLigue 1
19 AprParis Saint Germain1–2LyonLigue 1
14 AprLiverpool0–2Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League
15Win71%
3Draw14%
3Lost14%
LAST MATCHESStade Brestois 29
03 MayParis FC4–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
24 AprStade Brestois 293–3LensLigue 1
19 AprNantes1–1Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
04 AprStade Brestois 293–4RennesLigue 1
21 MarAuxerre3–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
14 MarMonaco2–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
5Win31%
5Draw31%
6Lost38%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersParis Saint Germain
No reported absences
Stade Brestois 29
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Paris Saint Germain Win1.16 (76.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.32 (67.6%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.19 (32.4%)
Both Teams Score1.90 (53.9%)
BTTS No1.84 (46.1%)
Speculative
Draw7.61 (13.6%)
Stade Brestois 29 Win14.53 (10.1%)
