Real Madrid vs Oviedo
Real Madrid
#2 · La Liga
WDWLD
VS
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Oviedo
#20 · La Liga
LLDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.81
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Real Madrid will face Oviedo in the La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Real Madrid has a 74.3% probability of winning this match. Oviedo has a 10.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 15.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Real Madrid sit 2nd in the table, 18 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Real Madrid74.3%1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564.2%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%1.77
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
7.33
13.7%
3-0
7.97
12.6%
2-1
8.60
11.7%
3-1
9.49
10.6%
1-0
9.68
10.4%
4-0
11.07
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.22 | Draw 6.34 | Away 11.41 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.35 | Under 2.99 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.09 | Under 6.42 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.96 | Under 1.85 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.77 | No 1.96 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.04 | 12 1.11 | X2 4.11 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.3%
Over 1.5 Goals85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals64.2%
Over 3.5 Goals48.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 34 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 88 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 77 | WDWDL |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 68 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 63 | WWLLL |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 47 | WLLLW |
| 18 |  Alaves | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 36 | LWLDD |
| 19 |  Levante | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 20 | Oviedo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 28 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonReal MadridOviedo
1.95Goals p.g.1.12
1.24Goals conceded p.g.1.65
24%Clean sheets24%
62%Win rate24%
3.19Avg goals in match2.76
Recent Results
Real MadridLAST MATCHES
03 MayEspanyol0–2Real MadridLa Liga
24 AprReal Betis1–1Real MadridLa Liga
21 AprReal Madrid2–1AlavesLa Liga
15 AprBayern München4–3Real MadridUEFA Champions League
10 AprReal Madrid1–1GironaLa Liga
07 AprReal Madrid1–2Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League
13Win62%
2Draw10%
6Lost29%
LAST MATCHESOviedo
03 MayReal Betis3–0OviedoLa Liga
26 AprOviedo1–2ElcheLa Liga
23 AprOviedo1–1VillarrealLa Liga
12 AprCelta Vigo0–3OviedoLa Liga
05 AprOviedo1–0SevillaLa Liga
21 MarLevante4–2OviedoLa Liga
4Win24%
5Draw29%
8Lost47%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersReal Madrid
No reported absences
Oviedo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Real Madrid Win1.22 (74.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.35 (64.2%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.99 (35.8%)
Both Teams Score1.77 (54.6%)
BTTS No1.96 (45.4%)
Speculative
Draw6.34 (15.4%)
Oviedo Win11.41 (10.3%)
