Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln
Bayern München
#1 · Bundesliga
DLWWW
VS
Allianz Arena, Munich
1. FC Köln
#14 · Bundesliga
DLDWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
2.82
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.82 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 31.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Bayern München will face 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Bayern München has a 72.5% probability of winning this match. 1. FC Köln has a 13.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 14.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Bayern München have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Bayern München sit 1st in the table, 13 places above their opponents
- Bayern München average 3.2 goals per game
- With a combined average of 4.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Bayern München72.5%1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.580.8%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes68.5%1.40
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes4-1
7.20
13.9%
4-0
8.90
11.2%
3-1
9.80
10.2%
5-1
10.50
9.5%
2-1
11.00
9.1%
4-2
11.50
8.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.27 | Draw 7.13 | Away 11.00 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.11 | Under 5.70 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.39 | Under 2.90 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.40 | No 2.82 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.06 | 12 1.13 | X2 4.14 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals—
Over 1.5 Goals—
Over 2.5 Goals80.8%
Over 3.5 Goals67.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 116 | 35 | 81 | 83 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 65 | 32 | 33 | 67 | LWLLW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 63 | 42 | 21 | 62 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 58 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  VfB Stuttgart | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 58 | DDLWL |
| 6 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 58 | DWWDL |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 32 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 26 | DDWLL |
| 17 |  FC St. Pauli | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 26 | LLDLD |
| 18 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 69 | -31 | 23 | DWLWD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBayern München1. FC Köln
3.23Goals p.g.1.47
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.82
23%Clean sheets6%
77%Win rate18%
4.73Avg goals in match3.29
Recent Results
Bayern MünchenLAST MATCHES
02 MayBayern München3–31. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
28 AprParis Saint Germain5–4Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League
25 AprFSV Mainz 053–4Bayern MünchenBundesliga
22 AprBayer Leverkusen0–2Bayern MünchenDFB Pokal
19 AprBayern München4–2VfB StuttgartBundesliga
15 AprBayern München4–3Real MadridUEFA Champions League
17Win77%
3Draw14%
2Lost9%
LAST MATCHES1. FC Köln
02 MayUnion Berlin2–21. FC KölnBundesliga
25 Apr1. FC Köln1–2Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
17 AprFC St. Pauli1–11. FC KölnBundesliga
12 Apr1. FC Köln3–1Werder BremenBundesliga
05 AprEintracht Frankfurt2–21. FC KölnBundesliga
21 Mar1. FC Köln3–3Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
3Win18%
7Draw41%
7Lost41%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBayern München
No reported absences
1. FC Köln
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Bayern München Win1.27 (72.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.11 (80.8%)
Both Teams Score1.40 (68.5%)
Value Bets
BTTS No2.82 (31.5%)
Speculative
Draw7.13 (14.1%)
1. FC Köln Win11.00 (13.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals5.70 (19.2%)
