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Arsenal vs Burnley

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 37
Arsenal
#1 · Premier League
WDWLD
VS
Emirates Stadium, London
Burnley
#19 · Premier League
LLLLL
84.3%
Home Win
12%
Draw
3.7%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 54.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Arsenal will face Burnley in the Premier League at Emirates Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Arsenal has a 84.3% probability of winning this match. Burnley has a 3.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 12%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Arsenal sit 1st in the table, 18 places above their opponents
  • Arsenal boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
  • Arsenal have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Strong confidence
Match Result
1 — Arsenal84.3%1.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.563.7%1.33
Both Teams to Score
No54.4%1.58
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
3-0
6.20
16.2%
2-0
6.31
15.9%
4-0
7.76
13%
1-0
9.11
11.1%
2-1
10.17
9.9%
3-1
10.44
9.6%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.10Draw 10.11Away 23.68
O/U 2.5Over 1.33Under 3.11
O/U 1.5Over 1.07Under 7.00
O/U 3.5Over 1.91Under 1.89
BTTSYes 2.27No 1.58
Double Chance1X 1.0112 1.05X2 6.89

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
95.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
86.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
63.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
49.6%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Arsenal
35237567264176
WWLLW
2
Manchester City
34218569323771
DWWWD
3
Manchester United
351810763481564
WWWLD
4
Liverpool
351771159471258
LWWWL
5
Aston Villa
35177114844458
LLWDW
6
Bournemouth
35121675552352
WDWWD
18
West Ham
3599174261-1936
LWDWL
19
Burnley
3548233571-3620
LLLLL
20
Wolves
3539232563-3818
DLLLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
ArsenalBurnley
1.73Goals p.g.1.19
0.73Goals conceded p.g.2.06
50%Clean sheets6%
59%Win rate12%
2.45Avg goals in match3.25

Recent Results

ArsenalLAST MATCHES
02 MayArsenal3–0FulhamPremier League
29 AprAtletico Madrid1–1ArsenalUEFA Champions League
25 AprArsenal1–0NewcastlePremier League
19 AprManchester City2–1ArsenalPremier League
15 AprArsenal0–0Sporting CPUEFA Champions League
11 AprArsenal1–2BournemouthPremier League
13Win59%
5Draw23%
4Lost18%
LAST MATCHESBurnley
01 MayLeeds3–1BurnleyPremier League
22 AprBurnley0–1Manchester CityPremier League
19 AprNottingham Forest4–1BurnleyPremier League
11 AprBurnley0–2BrightonPremier League
21 MarFulham3–1BurnleyPremier League
14 MarBurnley0–0BournemouthPremier League
2Win13%
4Draw25%
10Lost63%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Arsenal

No reported absences

Burnley

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Arsenal Win1.10 (84.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.33 (63.7%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.11 (36.3%)
Both Teams Score2.27 (45.6%)
BTTS No1.58 (54.4%)
●Speculative
Draw10.11 (12%)
Burnley Win23.68 (3.7%)
Arsenal vs Burnley Predictions, Stats, H2H - 18 May 2026 | SureTipsPro