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Manchester City vs Crystal Palace

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 31
Manchester City
#2 · Premier League
DWWWW
VS
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Crystal Palace
#15 · Premier League
LWLDL
70.7%
Home Win
16.7%
Draw
12.6%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.93
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.88 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 50.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Manchester City will face Crystal Palace in the Premier League at Etihad Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Manchester City has a 70.7% probability of winning this match. Crystal Palace has a 12.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 16.7%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Manchester City are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • Manchester City sit 2nd in the table, 13 places above their opponents

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Strong confidence
Match Result
1 — Manchester City70.7%1.26
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.3%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%1.88
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-0
6.67
15%
3-0
7.79
12.9%
1-0
8.03
12.5%
2-1
8.13
12.4%
3-1
9.85
10.2%
1-1
10.46
9.6%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.26Draw 5.76Away 10.28
O/U 2.5Over 1.48Under 2.53
O/U 1.5Over 1.14Under 5.16
O/U 3.5Over 2.25Under 1.65
BTTSYes 1.88No 1.85
Double Chance1X 1.0512 1.12X2 3.68

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
81.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
57.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
42.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Arsenal
35237567264176
WWLLW
2
Manchester City
34218569323771
DWWWD
3
Manchester United
351810763481564
WWWLD
4
Liverpool
351771159471258
LWWWL
5
Aston Villa
35177114844458
LLWDW
6
Bournemouth
35121675552352
WDWWD
15
Crystal Palace
341110133642-643
LLDWD
18
West Ham
3599174261-1936
LWDWL
19
Burnley
3548233571-3620
LLLLL
20
Wolves
3539232563-3818
DLLLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Manchester CityCrystal Palace
1.95Goals p.g.1.24
0.9Goals conceded p.g.1.14
38%Clean sheets33%
67%Win rate38%
2.86Avg goals in match2.38

Recent Results

Manchester CityLAST MATCHES
04 MayEverton3–3Manchester CityPremier League
25 AprManchester City2–1SouthamptonFA Cup
22 AprBurnley0–1Manchester CityPremier League
19 AprManchester City2–1ArsenalPremier League
12 AprChelsea0–3Manchester CityPremier League
04 AprManchester City4–0LiverpoolFA Cup
14Win67%
4Draw19%
2Lost10%
LAST MATCHESCrystal Palace
03 MayBournemouth3–0Crystal PalacePremier League
30 AprShakhtar Donetsk1–3Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa Conference League
25 AprLiverpool3–1Crystal PalacePremier League
20 AprCrystal Palace0–0West HamPremier League
16 AprFiorentina2–1Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa Conference League
12 AprCrystal Palace2–1NewcastlePremier League
8Win38%
5Draw24%
7Lost33%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Manchester City

No reported absences

Crystal Palace

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Manchester City Win1.26 (70.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.48 (57.3%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.53 (42.7%)
Both Teams Score1.88 (50.4%)
BTTS No1.85 (49.6%)
●Speculative
Draw5.76 (16.7%)
Crystal Palace Win10.28 (12.6%)
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Predictions, Stats, H2H - 13 May 2026 | SureTipsPro