Tottenham vs Leeds

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 36
Tottenham
#17 · Premier League
WWDLL
VS
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Leeds
#14 · Premier League
WLDWW
49.1%
Home Win
21.1%
Draw
29.8%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Tottenham will face Leeds in the Premier League at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Tottenham has a 49.1% probability of winning this match. Leeds has a 29.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.1%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Leeds have won 3 of their last 5 games

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Tottenham49.1%1.77
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.9%1.70
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
7.09
14.2%
2-1
7.76
13%
1-0
7.96
12.6%
2-0
9.08
11.1%
1-2
12.50
8.1%
3-1
12.73
7.9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.77Draw 3.94Away 4.08
O/U 2.5Over 1.70Under 2.15
O/U 1.5Over 1.21Under 4.15
O/U 3.5Over 2.72Under 1.43
BTTSYes 1.64No 2.17
Double Chance1X 1.2312 1.24X2 2.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
34.4%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Arsenal
35237567264176
WWLLW
2
Manchester City
34218569323771
DWWWD
3
Manchester United
351810763481564
WWWLD
4
Liverpool
351771159471258
LWWWL
5
Aston Villa
35177114844458
LLWDW
6
Bournemouth
35121675552352
WDWWD
14
Leeds
351013124752-543
WDWWD
17
Tottenham
35910164554-937
WWDLL
18
West Ham
3599174261-1936
LWDWL
19
Burnley
3548233571-3620
LLLLL
20
Wolves
3539232563-3818
DLLLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
TottenhamLeeds
1.35Goals p.g.1.33
1.88Goals conceded p.g.1.06
18%Clean sheets28%
29%Win rate33%
3.24Avg goals in match2.39

Recent Results

TottenhamLAST MATCHES
03 MayAston Villa12TottenhamPremier League
25 AprWolves01TottenhamPremier League
18 AprTottenham22BrightonPremier League
12 AprSunderland10TottenhamPremier League
22 MarTottenham03Nottingham ForestPremier League
18 MarTottenham32Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League
5Win29%
4Draw24%
8Lost47%
LAST MATCHESLeeds
01 MayLeeds31BurnleyPremier League
26 AprChelsea10LeedsFA Cup
22 AprBournemouth22LeedsPremier League
18 AprLeeds30WolvesPremier League
13 AprManchester United12LeedsPremier League
05 AprWest Ham22LeedsFA Cup
6Win33%
8Draw44%
4Lost22%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Tottenham

No reported absences

Leeds

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.64 (56.5%)
Value Bets
Tottenham Win1.77 (49.1%)
Leeds Win4.08 (29.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.70 (54.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.15 (45.1%)
BTTS No2.17 (43.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.94 (21.1%)
Tottenham vs Leeds Predictions, Stats, H2H - 11 May 2026 | SureTipsPro