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Toronto FC vs Inter Miami

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 13
Toronto FC
#8 · Major League Soccer
DLDDD
VS
BMO Field
Inter Miami
#3 · Major League Soccer
LDWWD
35.2%
Home Win
20.6%
Draw
44.1%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Inter Miami to Win
Slight away form and superior underlying numbers over Toronto FC make Inter Miami the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.03
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.00 for Inter Miami to Win. Our model calculates a 44.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Toronto FC will face Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer at BMO Field.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Toronto FC has a 35.2% probability of winning this match. Inter Miami has a 44.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.6%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • With a combined average of 3.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — Inter Miami44.1%2.00
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564.9%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes65.7%1.43
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
7.59
13.3%
1-2
8.11
12.5%
2-1
10.25
9.9%
2-2
10.33
9.8%
0-1
10.67
9.4%
0-2
11.78
8.6%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 3.13Draw 3.94Away 2.00
O/U 2.5Over 1.47Under 2.58
O/U 1.5Over 1.14Under 5.38
O/U 3.5Over 2.20Under 1.64
BTTSYes 1.43No 2.61
Double Chance1X 1.7612 1.23X2 1.34

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
82.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
64.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
42.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Major League Soccer Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
San Jose Earthquakes
119112671928
DWWWW
1
Nashville SC
107212161523
DWWWL
2
New England Revolution
106131812619
WDWWW
2
Vancouver Whitecaps
108112662025
DWWWW
3
Los Angeles FC
116321981121
DWDLL
3
Inter Miami
115422219319
LDWWD
8
Toronto FC
113531820-214
DLDDD
14
CF Montreal
103071423-99
LWWLL
15
Sporting Kansas City
10127826-185
DLLLL
15
Philadelphia Union
11137917-86
DLDDW

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Toronto FCInter Miami
1.78Goals p.g.1.95
1.61Goals conceded p.g.1.53
11%Clean sheets16%
39%Win rate47%
3.39Avg goals in match3.47

Recent Results

Toronto FCLAST MATCHES
02 MayToronto FC1–1San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
25 AprToronto FC1–2Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
22 AprToronto FC3–3Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
18 AprToronto FC3–3AustinMajor League Soccer
11 AprToronto FC1–1FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
04 AprToronto FC3–2Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
7Win39%
6Draw33%
5Lost28%
LAST MATCHESInter Miami
02 MayInter Miami3–4Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
25 AprInter Miami1–1New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
23 AprReal Salt Lake0–2Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
18 AprColorado Rapids2–3Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
11 AprInter Miami2–2New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
04 AprInter Miami2–2AustinMajor League Soccer
9Win47%
7Draw37%
3Lost16%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Toronto FC

No reported absences

Inter Miami

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.47 (64.9%)
Both Teams Score1.43 (65.7%)
●Value Bets
Toronto FC Win3.13 (35.2%)
Inter Miami Win2.00 (44.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.58 (35.1%)
BTTS No2.61 (34.3%)
●Speculative
Draw3.94 (20.6%)
Toronto FC vs Inter Miami Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 May 2026 | SureTipsPro