New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
#2 · Major League Soccer
WLDWW
VS
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union
#15 · Major League Soccer
DLDDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.73 (implied 57.9%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.2% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.72. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , New England Revolution will face Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer at Gillette Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that New England Revolution has a 46.2% probability of winning this match. Philadelphia Union has a 30.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- New England Revolution have won 3 of their last 5 games
- New England Revolution sit 2nd in the table, 13 places above their opponents
- New England Revolution average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — New England Revolution46.2%2.56
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.5%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.2%1.73
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.03
16.6%
0-1
8.13
12.4%
1-0
8.21
12.3%
2-1
9.18
11%
1-2
9.20
11%
0-0
9.47
10.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.56 | Draw 3.28 | Away 2.63 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.94 | Under 1.82 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.29 | Under 3.39 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.37 | Under 1.29 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.73 | No 2.01 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.46 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.47 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90%
Over 1.5 Goals72.4%
Over 2.5 Goals54.5%
Over 3.5 Goals27.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonNew England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union
2.15Goals p.g.1.58
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.32
25%Clean sheets32%
45%Win rate26%
3.65Avg goals in match2.89
Recent Results
New England RevolutionLAST MATCHES
02 MayNew England Revolution1–0CharlotteMajor League Soccer
29 AprNew England Revolution3–4Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
25 AprInter Miami1–1New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
22 AprAtlanta United FC1–2New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
18 AprNew England Revolution2–1Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
14 AprNew England Revolution1–1Rhode IslandUS Open Cup
9Win45%
4Draw20%
7Lost35%
LAST MATCHESPhiladelphia Union
02 MayPhiladelphia Union0–0Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
25 AprColumbus Crew2–0Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
22 AprToronto FC3–3Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
18 AprPhiladelphia Union0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
11 AprCF Montreal1–2Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
04 AprCharlotte2–1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
5Win26%
4Draw21%
10Lost53%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNew England Revolution
No reported absences
Philadelphia Union
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.73 (58.2%)
Value Bets
New England Revolution Win2.56 (46.2%)
Philadelphia Union Win2.63 (30.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.94 (54.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.82 (45.5%)
BTTS No2.01 (41.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.28 (23.5%)
