CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
#14 · Major League Soccer
LWWLL
VS
Saputo Stadium
Orlando City SC
#13 · Major League Soccer
WWLWL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.55
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.50 (implied 66.7%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 67.8% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.47. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , CF Montreal will face Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer at Saputo Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that CF Montreal has a 49.5% probability of winning this match. Orlando City SC has a 29.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Orlando City SC have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — CF Montreal49.5%1.82
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.567.8%1.50
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes67.5%1.48
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.41
13.6%
2-1
7.82
12.9%
1-0
9.72
10.3%
2-0
10.25
9.8%
2-2
10.72
9.5%
1-2
11.36
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.82 | Draw 3.87 | Away 3.79 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.50 | Under 2.47 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 5.13 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.27 | Under 1.60 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.48 | No 2.49 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.25 | 12 1.23 | X2 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.8%
Over 1.5 Goals81.7%
Over 2.5 Goals67.8%
Over 3.5 Goals41.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonCF MontrealOrlando City SC
1.47Goals p.g.1.6
2.24Goals conceded p.g.2.7
12%Clean sheets5%
29%Win rate30%
3.71Avg goals in match4.3
Recent Results
CF MontrealLAST MATCHES
02 MayAtlanta United FC3–1CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
25 AprCF Montreal1–0New York City FCMajor League Soccer
18 AprCF Montreal4–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
11 AprCF Montreal1–2Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
04 AprNew England Revolution3–0CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
22 MarFC Cincinnati4–3CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
5Win29%
1Draw6%
11Lost65%
LAST MATCHESOrlando City SC
02 MayInter Miami3–4Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
29 AprNew England Revolution3–4Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
25 AprDC United3–2Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
22 AprOrlando City SC4–1CharlotteMajor League Soccer
18 AprOrlando City SC0–1Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
15 AprNaples0–1Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
6Win30%
2Draw10%
12Lost60%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCF Montreal
No reported absences
Orlando City SC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.50 (67.8%)
Both Teams Score1.48 (67.5%)
Value Bets
CF Montreal Win1.82 (49.5%)
Orlando City SC Win3.79 (29.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.47 (32.2%)
BTTS No2.49 (32.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.87 (20.6%)
