Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
#7 · Major League Soccer
LLLLW
VS
Bank of America Stadium
FC Cincinnati
#6 · Major League Soccer
WWDDD
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 63.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Charlotte will face FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer at Bank of America Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Charlotte has a 42.4% probability of winning this match. FC Cincinnati has a 36.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FC Cincinnati are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- FC Cincinnati average 2.3 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.9 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Charlotte42.4%1.98
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.563.4%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes64.7%1.49
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.02
14.3%
2-1
7.95
12.7%
1-0
9.47
10.7%
1-2
10.44
9.7%
2-2
10.67
9.5%
2-0
10.90
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.98 | Draw 3.69 | Away 3.36 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.56 | Under 2.35 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.86 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.38 | Under 1.54 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.49 | No 2.44 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.30 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.77 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.6%
Over 1.5 Goals80.7%
Over 2.5 Goals63.4%
Over 3.5 Goals39.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 | WWDDD |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonCharlotteFC Cincinnati
1.55Goals p.g.2.32
1.35Goals conceded p.g.1.84
20%Clean sheets32%
40%Win rate42%
2.9Avg goals in match4.16
Recent Results
CharlotteLAST MATCHES
02 MayNew England Revolution1–0CharlotteMajor League Soccer
28 AprCharlotte0–2Atlanta United FCUS Open Cup
26 AprNashville SC4–2CharlotteMajor League Soccer
22 AprOrlando City SC4–1CharlotteMajor League Soccer
18 AprNew York City FC1–2CharlotteMajor League Soccer
15 AprCharlotte6–0Charlotte IndependenceUS Open Cup
8Win40%
3Draw15%
8Lost40%
LAST MATCHESFC Cincinnati
03 MayChicago Fire2–3FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
25 AprFC Cincinnati2–0New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
22 AprNew York City FC4–4FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
18 AprFC Cincinnati3–3Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
11 AprToronto FC1–1FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
04 AprNew York Red Bulls4–2FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
8Win42%
5Draw26%
6Lost32%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCharlotte
No reported absences
FC Cincinnati
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.56 (63.4%)
Both Teams Score1.49 (64.7%)
Value Bets
Charlotte Win1.98 (42.4%)
FC Cincinnati Win3.36 (36.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.35 (36.6%)
BTTS No2.44 (35.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.69 (21.5%)
