Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
#4 · Major League Soccer
LLWDW
VS
Soldier Field
New York Red Bulls
#11 · Major League Soccer
LLLDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.53
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.50 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 64.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Chicago Fire will face New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer at Soldier Field.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Chicago Fire has a 62.4% probability of winning this match. New York Red Bulls has a 18.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.2%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Chicago Fire62.4%1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.566.3%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.50
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.65
13.2%
1-1
8.18
12.3%
2-0
9.32
10.8%
1-0
9.79
10.3%
3-1
10.18
9.9%
2-2
11.75
8.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.57 | Draw 4.33 | Away 4.88 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.44 | Under 2.67 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.12 | Under 5.75 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.13 | Under 1.69 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.50 | No 2.42 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.17 | 12 1.19 | X2 2.29 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.2%
Over 1.5 Goals83.6%
Over 2.5 Goals66.3%
Over 3.5 Goals44.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 12 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonChicago FireNew York Red Bulls
1.7Goals p.g.1.7
1.3Goals conceded p.g.2.35
35%Clean sheets10%
40%Win rate30%
3Avg goals in match4.05
Recent Results
Chicago FireLAST MATCHES
03 MayChicago Fire2–3FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
30 AprChicago Fire1–2St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
26 AprChicago Fire5–0Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
18 AprFC Cincinnati3–3Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
14 AprDetroit City1–2Chicago FireUS Open Cup
12 AprChicago Fire1–0Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
8Win40%
6Draw30%
6Lost30%
LAST MATCHESNew York Red Bulls
02 MayNew York Red Bulls0–2FC DallasMajor League Soccer
29 AprNew York Red Bulls1–3New York City FCUS Open Cup
25 AprFC Cincinnati2–0New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
22 AprNew York Red Bulls4–4DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
18 AprCF Montreal4–1New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
15 AprNew York Red Bulls3–1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsUS Open Cup
6Win30%
3Draw15%
11Lost55%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersChicago Fire
No reported absences
New York Red Bulls
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Chicago Fire Win1.57 (62.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.44 (66.3%)
Both Teams Score1.50 (64%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.67 (33.7%)
BTTS No2.42 (36%)
Speculative
Draw4.33 (19.2%)
New York Red Bulls Win4.88 (18.4%)
