Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Atlanta United FC
#12 · Major League Soccer
WWWLL
VS
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Los Angeles Galaxy
#10 · Major League Soccer
DWLDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Atlanta United FC will face Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Atlanta United FC has a 43.3% probability of winning this match. Los Angeles Galaxy has a 33.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Atlanta United FC have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Atlanta United FC43.3%2.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.1%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.6%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.52
15.4%
2-1
8.68
11.6%
1-2
9.08
11.1%
1-0
9.54
10.5%
0-1
10.00
10.1%
2-2
10.78
9.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.44 | Draw 3.49 | Away 2.67 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.68 | Under 2.14 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.20 | Under 4.26 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.63 | Under 1.45 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.55 | No 2.32 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.44 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.51 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals78%
Over 2.5 Goals56.1%
Over 3.5 Goals35.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 | DWLDW |
| 12 | Atlanta United FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonAtlanta United FCLos Angeles Galaxy
1.3Goals p.g.1.67
1.4Goals conceded p.g.1.48
20%Clean sheets29%
35%Win rate33%
2.7Avg goals in match3.14
Recent Results
Atlanta United FCLAST MATCHES
02 MayAtlanta United FC3–1CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
28 AprCharlotte0–2Atlanta United FCUS Open Cup
25 AprToronto FC1–2Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
22 AprAtlanta United FC1–2New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
18 AprAtlanta United FC0–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
15 AprChattanooga1–3Atlanta United FCUS Open Cup
7Win35%
4Draw20%
9Lost45%
LAST MATCHESLos Angeles Galaxy
03 MayLos Angeles Galaxy1–1Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
26 AprLos Angeles Galaxy2–1Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
22 AprColumbus Crew2–1Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
19 AprFC Dallas2–2Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
16 AprLos Angeles Galaxy0–3TolucaCONCACAF Champions League
11 AprAustin1–2Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
7Win33%
7Draw33%
7Lost33%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtlanta United FC
No reported absences
Los Angeles Galaxy
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.68 (56.1%)
Both Teams Score1.55 (59.6%)
Value Bets
Atlanta United FC Win2.44 (43.3%)
Los Angeles Galaxy Win2.67 (33.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.14 (43.9%)
BTTS No2.32 (40.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.49 (22.8%)
