Seattle Sounders vs San Diego
Seattle Sounders
#4 · Major League Soccer
DWWWL
VS
Lumen Field
San Diego
#12 · Major League Soccer
DLLLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Seattle Sounders will face San Diego in the Major League Soccer at Lumen Field.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Seattle Sounders has a 58.9% probability of winning this match. San Diego has a 20.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Seattle Sounders have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Seattle Sounders sit 4th in the table, 8 places above their opponents
- With a combined average of 3.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Seattle Sounders58.9%1.72
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.1%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.7%1.60
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.17
14%
2-1
7.57
13.3%
1-0
8.15
12.3%
2-0
8.77
11.5%
3-1
11.50
8.8%
2-2
11.94
8.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.72 | Draw 3.88 | Away 4.29 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.63 | Under 2.23 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.19 | Under 4.47 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.57 | Under 1.48 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.60 | No 2.20 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.20 | 12 1.23 | X2 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.1%
Over 1.5 Goals79%
Over 2.5 Goals59.1%
Over 3.5 Goals36.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 20 | DWWWD |
| 12 | San Diego | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 12 | DLLLL |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSeattle SoundersSan Diego
1.95Goals p.g.1.79
1Goals conceded p.g.1.58
37%Clean sheets32%
68%Win rate42%
2.95Avg goals in match3.37
Recent Results
Seattle SoundersLAST MATCHES
02 MaySporting Kansas City1–1Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
26 AprSeattle Sounders2–1FC DallasMajor League Soccer
19 AprSeattle Sounders4–1St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
16 AprSeattle Sounders3–1Tigres UANLCONCACAF Champions League
09 AprTigres UANL2–0Seattle SoundersCONCACAF Champions League
05 AprHouston Dynamo0–1Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
13Win68%
3Draw16%
3Lost16%
LAST MATCHESSan Diego
03 MaySan Diego2–2Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
26 AprSan Diego1–2Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
23 AprHouston Dynamo1–0San DiegoMajor League Soccer
19 AprReal Salt Lake4–2San DiegoMajor League Soccer
12 AprSan Diego1–2Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
05 AprSan Jose Earthquakes3–0San DiegoMajor League Soccer
8Win42%
3Draw16%
8Lost42%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSeattle Sounders
No reported absences
San Diego
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Seattle Sounders Win1.72 (58.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.63 (59.1%)
Both Teams Score1.60 (59.7%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.23 (40.9%)
BTTS No2.20 (40.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.88 (20.9%)
San Diego Win4.29 (20.2%)
