Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
#16 · Premier League
WWWWW
VS
City Ground, Nottingham
Newcastle
#13 · Premier League
WLLLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Nottingham Forest will face Newcastle in the Premier League at City Ground.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Nottingham Forest has a 44.9% probability of winning this match. Newcastle has a 32.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Nottingham Forest are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Nottingham Forest have kept clean sheets in 43% of their matches
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Nottingham Forest44.9%2.60
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.4%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.4%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.45
15.6%
2-1
9.13
11%
1-2
9.23
10.9%
1-0
9.63
10.5%
0-1
9.77
10.3%
2-2
11.19
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.60 | Draw 3.45 | Away 2.57 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.74 | Under 2.10 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 4.02 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.78 | Under 1.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.57 | No 2.29 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.48 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.49 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals76.6%
Over 2.5 Goals57.4%
Over 3.5 Goals33.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67 | 26 | 41 | 76 | WWLLW |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 71 | DWWWD |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 | WWWLD |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 58 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 58 | LLWDW |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 52 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 45 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 42 | WWWDW |
| 18 |  West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 36 | LWDWL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Wolves | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | DLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonNottingham ForestNewcastle
1.71Goals p.g.1.88
0.81Goals conceded p.g.1.94
43%Clean sheets6%
48%Win rate41%
2.52Avg goals in match3.82
Recent Results
Nottingham ForestLAST MATCHES
04 MayChelsea1–3Nottingham ForestPremier League
30 AprNottingham Forest1–0Aston VillaUEFA Europa League
24 AprSunderland0–5Nottingham ForestPremier League
19 AprNottingham Forest4–1BurnleyPremier League
16 AprNottingham Forest1–0FC PortoUEFA Europa League
12 AprNottingham Forest1–1Aston VillaPremier League
10Win48%
6Draw29%
5Lost24%
LAST MATCHESNewcastle
02 MayNewcastle3–1BrightonPremier League
25 AprArsenal1–0NewcastlePremier League
18 AprNewcastle1–2BournemouthPremier League
12 AprCrystal Palace2–1NewcastlePremier League
22 MarNewcastle1–2SunderlandPremier League
18 MarBarcelona7–2NewcastleUEFA Champions League
7Win41%
1Draw6%
9Lost53%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNottingham Forest
No reported absences
Newcastle
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.74 (57.4%)
Both Teams Score1.57 (60.4%)
Value Bets
Nottingham Forest Win2.60 (44.9%)
Newcastle Win2.57 (32.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.10 (42.6%)
BTTS No2.29 (39.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.45 (22.8%)
