Newcastle vs West Ham
Newcastle
#13 · Premier League
WLLLL
VS
St. James' Park, Newcastle
West Ham
#18 · Premier League
LWDWD
★ OUR PICK
Newcastle to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over West Ham make Newcastle the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.03
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.94 for Newcastle to Win. Our model calculates a 49.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Newcastle will face West Ham in the Premier League at St. James' Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Newcastle has a 49.6% probability of winning this match. West Ham has a 29% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.4%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Newcastle49.6%1.94
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.563.6%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes65%1.43
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.69
13.1%
2-1
8.14
12.3%
2-2
10.47
9.6%
1-0
10.83
9.3%
1-2
11.25
8.9%
2-0
11.67
8.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.94 | Draw 3.79 | Away 3.58 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.47 | Under 2.56 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.13 | Under 5.35 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.20 | Under 1.68 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.43 | No 2.66 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.29 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.84 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.8%
Over 1.5 Goals82.6%
Over 2.5 Goals63.6%
Over 3.5 Goals43.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67 | 26 | 41 | 76 | WWLLW |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 71 | DWWWD |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 | WWWLD |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 58 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 58 | LLWDW |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 52 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 45 | WLLLL |
| 18 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 36 | LWDWL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Wolves | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | DLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonNewcastleWest Ham
1.88Goals p.g.1.47
1.94Goals conceded p.g.1.29
6%Clean sheets35%
41%Win rate41%
3.82Avg goals in match2.76
Recent Results
NewcastleLAST MATCHES
02 MayNewcastle3–1BrightonPremier League
25 AprArsenal1–0NewcastlePremier League
18 AprNewcastle1–2BournemouthPremier League
12 AprCrystal Palace2–1NewcastlePremier League
22 MarNewcastle1–2SunderlandPremier League
18 MarBarcelona7–2NewcastleUEFA Champions League
7Win41%
1Draw6%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESWest Ham
02 MayBrentford3–0West HamPremier League
25 AprWest Ham2–1EvertonPremier League
20 AprCrystal Palace0–0West HamPremier League
10 AprWest Ham4–0WolvesPremier League
05 AprWest Ham2–2LeedsFA Cup
22 MarAston Villa2–0West HamPremier League
7Win41%
6Draw35%
4Lost24%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNewcastle
No reported absences
West Ham
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.47 (63.6%)
Both Teams Score1.43 (65%)
Value Bets
Newcastle Win1.94 (49.6%)
West Ham Win3.58 (29%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.56 (36.4%)
BTTS No2.66 (35%)
Speculative
Draw3.79 (21.4%)
