Nashville SC vs DC United

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 13
Nashville SC
#1 · Major League Soccer
DLWWW
VS
Geodis Park
DC United
#5 · Major League Soccer
WWDDD
59.1%
Home Win
20.5%
Draw
20.4%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Nashville SC to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over DC United make Nashville SC the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 for Nashville SC to Win. Our model calculates a 59.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Nashville SC will face DC United in the Major League Soccer at Geodis Park.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Nashville SC has a 59.1% probability of winning this match. DC United has a 20.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.5%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Nashville SC have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • DC United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Nashville SC boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.6 goals per game
  • Nashville SC have kept clean sheets in 52% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.1%1.93
Both Teams to Score
No54.6%1.79
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-0
6.18
16.2%
2-0
6.63
15.1%
1-1
7.34
13.7%
2-1
7.57
13.3%
3-0
9.78
10.3%
0-0
10.31
9.9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.51Draw 4.09Away 6.09
O/U 2.5Over 1.84Under 1.93
O/U 1.5Over 1.26Under 3.66
O/U 3.5Over 3.09Under 1.34
BTTSYes 1.92No 1.79
Double Chance1X 1.1212 1.20X2 2.49

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
74.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
46.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
30.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Major League Soccer Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
San Jose Earthquakes
119112671928
DWWWW
1
Nashville SC
107212161523
DWWWL
2
New England Revolution
106131812619
WDWWW
2
Vancouver Whitecaps
108112662025
DWWWW
3
Los Angeles FC
116321981121
DWDLL
3
Inter Miami
115422219319
LDWWD
5
DC United
114341315-215
WWDDL
14
CF Montreal
103071423-99
LWWLL
15
Sporting Kansas City
10127826-185
DLLLL
15
Philadelphia Union
11137917-86
DLDDW

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Nashville SCDC United
1.62Goals p.g.0.89
0.57Goals conceded p.g.1.53
52%Clean sheets32%
52%Win rate21%
2.19Avg goals in match2.42

Recent Results

Nashville SCLAST MATCHES
02 MayPhiladelphia Union00Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
29 AprNashville SC01Tigres UANLCONCACAF Champions League
26 AprNashville SC42CharlotteMajor League Soccer
18 AprAtlanta United FC02Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
15 AprClub America01Nashville SCCONCACAF Champions League
11 AprCharlotte12Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
11Win52%
6Draw29%
3Lost14%
LAST MATCHESDC United
03 MayNew York City FC02DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
25 AprDC United32Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
22 AprNew York Red Bulls44DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
18 AprPhiladelphia Union00DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
15 AprDC United22One KnoxvilleUS Open Cup
11 AprNew England Revolution10DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
4Win21%
7Draw37%
7Lost37%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Nashville SC

No reported absences

DC United

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High Probability
Nashville SC Win1.51 (59.1%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.84 (46.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.93 (53.1%)
Both Teams Score1.92 (45.4%)
BTTS No1.79 (54.6%)
Speculative
Draw4.09 (20.5%)
DC United Win6.09 (20.4%)
Nashville SC vs DC United Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro