Nashville SC vs DC United

Nashville SC
#1 · Major League Soccer
DLWWW
VS
Geodis Park

DC United
#5 · Major League Soccer
WWDDD
★ OUR PICK
Nashville SC to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over DC United make Nashville SC the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.51 for Nashville SC to Win. Our model calculates a 59.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Nashville SC will face DC United in the Major League Soccer at Geodis Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Nashville SC has a 59.1% probability of winning this match. DC United has a 20.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Nashville SC have won 3 of their last 5 games
- DC United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Nashville SC boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.6 goals per game
- Nashville SC have kept clean sheets in 52% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Nashville SC59.1%1.51
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.1%1.93
Both Teams to Score
No54.6%1.79
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
6.18
16.2%
2-0
6.63
15.1%
1-1
7.34
13.7%
2-1
7.57
13.3%
3-0
9.78
10.3%
0-0
10.31
9.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.51 | Draw 4.09 | Away 6.09 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.84 | Under 1.93 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.26 | Under 3.66 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.09 | Under 1.34 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.92 | No 1.79 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.12 | 12 1.20 | X2 2.49 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals74.4%
Over 2.5 Goals46.9%
Over 3.5 Goals30.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW | |
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL | |
| 3 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 | WWDDL | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL | |
| 15 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL | |
| 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonNashville SCDC United
1.62Goals p.g.0.89
0.57Goals conceded p.g.1.53
52%Clean sheets32%
52%Win rate21%
2.19Avg goals in match2.42
Recent Results
Nashville SCLAST MATCHES
02 MayPhiladelphia Union0–0Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
29 AprNashville SC0–1Tigres UANLCONCACAF Champions League
26 AprNashville SC4–2CharlotteMajor League Soccer
18 AprAtlanta United FC0–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
15 AprClub America0–1Nashville SCCONCACAF Champions League
11 AprCharlotte1–2Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
11Win52%
6Draw29%
3Lost14%
LAST MATCHESDC United
03 MayNew York City FC0–2DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
25 AprDC United3–2Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
22 AprNew York Red Bulls4–4DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
18 AprPhiladelphia Union0–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
15 AprDC United2–2One KnoxvilleUS Open Cup
11 AprNew England Revolution1–0DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
4Win21%
7Draw37%
7Lost37%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Nashville SC
No reported absences
DC United
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Nashville SC Win1.51 (59.1%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.84 (46.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.93 (53.1%)
Both Teams Score1.92 (45.4%)
BTTS No1.79 (54.6%)
Speculative
Draw4.09 (20.5%)
DC United Win6.09 (20.4%)









