Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
#3 · Premier League
WWWLD
VS
Old Trafford, Manchester
Nottingham Forest
#16 · Premier League
WWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Manchester United will face Nottingham Forest in the Premier League at Old Trafford.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Manchester United has a 56.6% probability of winning this match. Nottingham Forest has a 23.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Manchester United have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Nottingham Forest are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Manchester United sit 3rd in the table, 13 places above their opponents
- Nottingham Forest have kept clean sheets in 43% of their matches
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Manchester United56.6%1.59
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.1%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.2%1.63
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.56
13.3%
1-1
8.06
12.5%
1-0
8.34
12%
2-0
8.43
11.9%
3-1
10.94
9.2%
3-0
11.89
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.59 | Draw 4.43 | Away 4.89 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.60 | Under 2.34 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.17 | Under 4.65 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.46 | Under 1.52 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.63 | No 2.18 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.18 | 12 1.19 | X2 2.32 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.8%
Over 1.5 Goals79.9%
Over 2.5 Goals57.1%
Over 3.5 Goals38.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67 | 26 | 41 | 76 | WWLLW |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 71 | DWWWD |
| 3 | Manchester United | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 | WWWLD |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 58 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 58 | LLWDW |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 52 | WDWWD |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 42 | WWWDW |
| 18 |  West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 36 | LWDWL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Wolves | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | DLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonManchester UnitedNottingham Forest
1.88Goals p.g.1.71
1.25Goals conceded p.g.0.81
25%Clean sheets43%
62%Win rate48%
3.12Avg goals in match2.52
Recent Results
Manchester UnitedLAST MATCHES
03 MayManchester United3–2LiverpoolPremier League
27 AprManchester United2–1BrentfordPremier League
18 AprChelsea0–1Manchester UnitedPremier League
13 AprManchester United1–2LeedsPremier League
20 MarBournemouth2–2Manchester UnitedPremier League
15 MarManchester United3–1Aston VillaPremier League
10Win63%
3Draw19%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESNottingham Forest
04 MayChelsea1–3Nottingham ForestPremier League
30 AprNottingham Forest1–0Aston VillaUEFA Europa League
24 AprSunderland0–5Nottingham ForestPremier League
19 AprNottingham Forest4–1BurnleyPremier League
16 AprNottingham Forest1–0FC PortoUEFA Europa League
12 AprNottingham Forest1–1Aston VillaPremier League
10Win48%
6Draw29%
5Lost24%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersManchester United
No reported absences
Nottingham Forest
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Manchester United Win1.59 (56.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.60 (57.1%)
Both Teams Score1.63 (57.2%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.34 (42.9%)
BTTS No2.18 (42.8%)
Speculative
Draw4.43 (19.6%)
Nottingham Forest Win4.89 (23.8%)
