Leeds vs Brighton
Leeds
#14 · Premier League
WLDWW
VS
Elland Road, Leeds
Brighton
#8 · Premier League
LWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Leeds will face Brighton in the Premier League at Elland Road.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Leeds has a 37.3% probability of winning this match. Brighton has a 39% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Leeds have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Brighton have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Brighton39%2.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.3%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.7%1.59
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.43
15.6%
1-2
8.48
11.8%
0-1
8.81
11.4%
2-1
9.91
10.1%
1-0
10.53
9.5%
2-2
11.18
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.04 | Draw 3.45 | Away 2.29 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.75 | Under 2.10 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 4.00 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.79 | Under 1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.59 | No 2.27 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.62 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.38 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.6%
Over 1.5 Goals76.6%
Over 2.5 Goals49.7%
Over 3.5 Goals33.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67 | 26 | 41 | 76 | WWLLW |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 71 | DWWWD |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 | WWWLD |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 58 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 58 | LLWDW |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 52 | WDWWD |
| 8 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 50 | LWDWW |
| 14 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 43 | WDWWD |
| 18 |  West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 36 | LWDWL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Wolves | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | DLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLeedsBrighton
1.33Goals p.g.1.25
1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.12
28%Clean sheets25%
33%Win rate44%
2.39Avg goals in match2.38
Recent Results
LeedsLAST MATCHES
01 MayLeeds3–1BurnleyPremier League
26 AprChelsea1–0LeedsFA Cup
22 AprBournemouth2–2LeedsPremier League
18 AprLeeds3–0WolvesPremier League
13 AprManchester United1–2LeedsPremier League
05 AprWest Ham2–2LeedsFA Cup
6Win33%
8Draw44%
4Lost22%
LAST MATCHESBrighton
02 MayNewcastle3–1BrightonPremier League
21 AprBrighton3–0ChelseaPremier League
18 AprTottenham2–2BrightonPremier League
11 AprBurnley0–2BrightonPremier League
21 MarBrighton2–1LiverpoolPremier League
14 MarSunderland0–1BrightonPremier League
7Win44%
3Draw19%
6Lost38%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLeeds
No reported absences
Brighton
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Leeds Win3.04 (37.3%)
Brighton Win2.29 (39%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.75 (49.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.10 (50.3%)
Both Teams Score1.59 (54.7%)
BTTS No2.27 (45.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.45 (23.7%)
