FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
#7 · Major League Soccer
WLLDD
VS
Toyota Stadium
Real Salt Lake
#6 · Major League Soccer
WLLWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 61.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Dallas will face Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer at Toyota Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Dallas has a 45.5% probability of winning this match. Real Salt Lake has a 32.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Real Salt Lake have won 3 of their last 5 games
- FC Dallas average 2.0 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.8 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — FC Dallas45.5%2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.5%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes63.5%1.46
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.00
14.4%
2-1
8.36
12%
1-2
9.67
10.5%
2-2
10.28
9.9%
1-0
10.36
9.7%
2-0
12.08
8.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.20 | Draw 3.66 | Away 2.91 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.54 | Under 2.39 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 5.02 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.32 | Under 1.57 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.46 | No 2.53 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.39 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.64 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.1%
Over 1.5 Goals81.3%
Over 2.5 Goals61.5%
Over 3.5 Goals40.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 | WLLDD |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFC DallasReal Salt Lake
2Goals p.g.1.76
1.11Goals conceded p.g.1.59
39%Clean sheets6%
44%Win rate47%
3.11Avg goals in match3.35
Recent Results
FC DallasLAST MATCHES
02 MayNew York Red Bulls0–2FC DallasMajor League Soccer
26 AprSeattle Sounders2–1FC DallasMajor League Soccer
23 AprFC Dallas0–1Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
19 AprFC Dallas2–2Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
12 AprFC Dallas1–1St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
04 AprDC United0–4FC DallasMajor League Soccer
8Win44%
6Draw33%
4Lost22%
LAST MATCHESReal Salt Lake
02 MayReal Salt Lake2–0Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
26 AprLos Angeles Galaxy2–1Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
23 AprReal Salt Lake0–2Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
19 AprReal Salt Lake4–2San DiegoMajor League Soccer
04 AprReal Salt Lake3–1Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
22 MarSan Diego2–2Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
8Win47%
4Draw24%
5Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Dallas
No reported absences
Real Salt Lake
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.54 (61.5%)
Both Teams Score1.46 (63.5%)
Value Bets
FC Dallas Win2.20 (45.5%)
Real Salt Lake Win2.91 (32.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.39 (38.5%)
BTTS No2.53 (36.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.66 (21.7%)
