Everton vs Sunderland
Everton
#10 · Premier League
DLLDW
VS
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Sunderland
#12 · Premier League
DLLWW
★ OUR PICK
Everton to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Sunderland make Everton the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.81
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.76 for Everton to Win. Our model calculates a 52.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Everton will face Sunderland in the Premier League at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Everton has a 52.6% probability of winning this match. Sunderland has a 25.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Everton52.6%1.76
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.2%1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%1.81
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.58
15.3%
1-0
6.64
15.1%
2-1
7.63
13.2%
2-0
8.05
12.5%
0-0
9.58
10.5%
0-1
11.18
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.76 | Draw 3.74 | Away 4.53 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.93 | Under 1.89 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.28 | Under 3.47 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.25 | Under 1.32 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.81 | No 1.94 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.21 | 12 1.27 | X2 2.04 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.1%
Over 1.5 Goals73%
Over 2.5 Goals49.8%
Over 3.5 Goals28.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67 | 26 | 41 | 76 | WWLLW |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 71 | DWWWD |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 | WWWLD |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 58 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 58 | LLWDW |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 52 | WDWWD |
| 10 | Everton | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 48 | DLLDW |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 47 | DLLWW |
| 18 |  West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 36 | LWDWL |
| 19 |  Burnley | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Wolves | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | DLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonEvertonSunderland
1.44Goals p.g.1.06
1.31Goals conceded p.g.1.56
19%Clean sheets25%
31%Win rate38%
2.75Avg goals in match2.62
Recent Results
EvertonLAST MATCHES
04 MayEverton3–3Manchester CityPremier League
25 AprWest Ham2–1EvertonPremier League
19 AprEverton1–2LiverpoolPremier League
11 AprBrentford2–2EvertonPremier League
21 MarEverton3–0ChelseaPremier League
14 MarArsenal2–0EvertonPremier League
5Win31%
6Draw38%
5Lost31%
LAST MATCHESSunderland
02 MayWolves1–1SunderlandPremier League
24 AprSunderland0–5Nottingham ForestPremier League
19 AprAston Villa4–3SunderlandPremier League
12 AprSunderland1–0TottenhamPremier League
22 MarNewcastle1–2SunderlandPremier League
14 MarSunderland0–1BrightonPremier League
6Win38%
2Draw13%
8Lost50%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersEverton
No reported absences
Sunderland
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Everton Win1.76 (52.6%)
Sunderland Win4.53 (25.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.93 (49.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.89 (50.2%)
Both Teams Score1.81 (52.6%)
BTTS No1.94 (47.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.74 (22%)
