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Brentford vs Crystal Palace

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 37
Brentford
#7 · Premier League
WLDDD
VS
Brentford Community Stadium, London
Crystal Palace
#15 · Premier League
LWLDL
55.7%
Home Win
20.1%
Draw
24.1%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Brentford to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Crystal Palace make Brentford the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 for Brentford to Win. Our model calculates a 55.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Brentford will face Crystal Palace in the Premier League at Brentford Community Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Brentford has a 55.7% probability of winning this match. Crystal Palace has a 24.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.1%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Brentford sit 7th in the table, 8 places above their opponents

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
1 — Brentford55.7%1.70
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.4%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.3%1.62
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-1
7.47
13.5%
1-1
7.61
13.2%
1-0
8.03
12.5%
2-0
8.74
11.5%
3-1
11.94
8.4%
1-2
12.62
8%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.70Draw 4.39Away 4.20
O/U 2.5Over 1.64Under 2.26
O/U 1.5Over 1.19Under 4.36
O/U 3.5Over 2.58Under 1.46
BTTSYes 1.62No 2.19
Double Chance1X 1.2312 1.21X2 2.11

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
36.2%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Arsenal
35237567264176
WWLLW
2
Manchester City
34218569323771
DWWWD
3
Manchester United
351810763481564
WWWLD
4
Liverpool
351771159471258
LWWWL
5
Aston Villa
35177114844458
LLWDW
6
Bournemouth
35121675552352
WDWWD
7
Brentford
35149125246651
WLDDD
15
Crystal Palace
341110133642-643
LLDWD
18
West Ham
3599174261-1936
LWDWL
19
Burnley
3548233571-3620
LLLLL
20
Wolves
3539232563-3818
DLLLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
BrentfordCrystal Palace
1.25Goals p.g.1.24
1.25Goals conceded p.g.1.14
38%Clean sheets33%
31%Win rate38%
2.5Avg goals in match2.38

Recent Results

BrentfordLAST MATCHES
02 MayBrentford3–0West HamPremier League
27 AprManchester United2–1BrentfordPremier League
18 AprBrentford0–0FulhamPremier League
11 AprBrentford2–2EvertonPremier League
21 MarLeeds0–0BrentfordPremier League
16 MarBrentford2–2WolvesPremier League
5Win31%
7Draw44%
4Lost25%
LAST MATCHESCrystal Palace
03 MayBournemouth3–0Crystal PalacePremier League
30 AprShakhtar Donetsk1–3Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa Conference League
25 AprLiverpool3–1Crystal PalacePremier League
20 AprCrystal Palace0–0West HamPremier League
16 AprFiorentina2–1Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa Conference League
12 AprCrystal Palace2–1NewcastlePremier League
8Win38%
5Draw24%
7Lost33%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Brentford

No reported absences

Crystal Palace

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Brentford Win1.70 (55.7%)
●Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.64 (52.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.26 (47.6%)
Both Teams Score1.62 (54.3%)
BTTS No2.19 (45.7%)
●Speculative
Draw4.39 (20.1%)
Crystal Palace Win4.20 (24.1%)
Brentford vs Crystal Palace Predictions, Stats, H2H - 17 May 2026 | SureTipsPro