Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers

Stade Brestois 29
#12 · Ligue 1
LDDLL
VS
Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest

Angers
#13 · Ligue 1
LLDLD
★ OUR PICK
Stade Brestois 29 to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Angers make Stade Brestois 29 the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.81
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.81 (implied 55.2%) for Stade Brestois 29 to Win. Our model calculates a 55.5% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.80. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Stade Brestois 29 will face Angers in the Ligue 1 at Stade Francis-Le Blé.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Stade Brestois 29 has a 55.5% probability of winning this match. Angers has a 21.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 2.0 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Stade Brestois 2955.5%1.81
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.555.1%1.71
Both Teams to Score
No52.3%1.72
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.40
18.5%
1-1
6.50
15.4%
2-0
6.90
14.5%
2-1
8.40
11.9%
0-0
9.20
10.9%
0-1
9.90
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.81 | Draw 3.70 | Away 5.15 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.32 | Under 1.71 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.39 | Under 2.90 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.00 | Under 1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.12 | No 1.72 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.20 | 12 1.32 | X2 2.11 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.9%
Over 1.5 Goals67.6%
Over 2.5 Goals44.9%
Over 3.5 Goals23.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW | |
| 2 | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW | |
| 3 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD | |
| 4 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW | |
| 5 | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW | |
| 6 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW | |
| 12 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 | LDDLL | |
| 13 | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 34 | LLDLD | |
| 16 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD | |
| 17 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD | |
| 18 | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonStade Brestois 29Angers
1.31Goals p.g.0.65
1.56Goals conceded p.g.1.71
31%Clean sheets29%
31%Win rate18%
2.88Avg goals in match2.35
Recent Results
Stade Brestois 29LAST MATCHES
03 MayParis FC4–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
24 AprStade Brestois 293–3LensLigue 1
19 AprNantes1–1Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
04 AprStade Brestois 293–4RennesLigue 1
21 MarAuxerre3–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
14 MarMonaco2–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
5Win31%
5Draw31%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESAngers
03 MayAuxerre3–1AngersLigue 1
25 AprAngers0–3Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
18 AprAngers1–1Le HavreLigue 1
11 AprRennes2–1AngersLigue 1
05 AprAngers0–0LyonLigue 1
20 MarLens5–1AngersLigue 1
3Win18%
4Draw24%
10Lost59%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Stade Brestois 29
No reported absences
Angers
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Stade Brestois 29 Win1.81 (55.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.71 (55.1%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.32 (44.9%)
Both Teams Score2.12 (47.7%)
BTTS No1.72 (52.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.70 (22.8%)
Angers Win5.15 (21.7%)









