Le Havre vs Marseille
Le Havre
#14 · Ligue 1
DDDDD
VS
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Referee: B. Bastien
Marseille
#7 · Ligue 1
LDLWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Le Havre will face Marseille in the Ligue 1 at Stade Océane.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Le Havre has a 35.4% probability of winning this match. Marseille has a 42.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Le Havre are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Marseille42.4%1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.8%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.89
14.6%
1-2
7.86
12.8%
0-1
8.78
11.4%
0-2
10.18
9.9%
2-1
11.16
9%
2-2
11.43
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.59 | Draw 3.66 | Away 1.95 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.65 | Under 2.22 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.19 | Under 4.40 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.57 | Under 1.47 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.57 | No 2.30 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.84 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.27 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.4%
Over 1.5 Goals78.7%
Over 2.5 Goals55%
Over 3.5 Goals36.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 |  Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 53 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 | DDDDD |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLe HavreMarseille
1Goals p.g.1.35
1.35Goals conceded p.g.1.76
12%Clean sheets18%
18%Win rate35%
2.35Avg goals in match3.12
Recent Results
Le HavreLAST MATCHES
03 MayLille1–1Le HavreLigue 1
26 AprLe Havre4–4MetzLigue 1
18 AprAngers1–1Le HavreLigue 1
12 AprNice1–1Le HavreLigue 1
05 AprLe Havre1–1AuxerreLigue 1
22 MarParis FC3–2Le HavreLigue 1
3Win18%
8Draw47%
6Lost35%
LAST MATCHESMarseille
02 MayNantes3–0MarseilleLigue 1
26 AprMarseille1–1NiceLigue 1
18 AprLorient2–0MarseilleLigue 1
10 AprMarseille3–1MetzLigue 1
05 AprMonaco2–1MarseilleLigue 1
22 MarMarseille1–2LilleLigue 1
6Win35%
4Draw24%
7Lost41%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLe Havre
No reported absences
Marseille
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.65 (55%)
Both Teams Score1.57 (57.8%)
Value Bets
Le Havre Win3.59 (35.4%)
Marseille Win1.95 (42.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.22 (45%)
BTTS No2.30 (42.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.66 (22.2%)
