Metz vs Lorient
Metz
#18 · Ligue 1
LDDLL
VS
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz
Referee: J. Stinat
Lorient
#9 · Ligue 1
DLWLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Metz will face Lorient in the Ligue 1 at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Metz has a 30.5% probability of winning this match. Lorient has a 47.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Lorient sit 9th in the table, 9 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Lorient47.3%2.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.6%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.2%1.58
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.57
15.3%
1-2
8.19
12.3%
0-1
8.81
11.4%
2-1
10.10
10%
1-0
10.87
9.3%
0-2
11.21
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.12 | Draw 3.54 | Away 2.15 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.70 | Under 2.13 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.21 | Under 4.15 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.69 | Under 1.43 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.58 | No 2.27 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.68 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.34 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals77.4%
Over 2.5 Goals55.6%
Over 3.5 Goals34.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 |  Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 42 | DLWLD |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonMetzLorient
0.89Goals p.g.1.53
2.22Goals conceded p.g.1.18
17%Clean sheets29%
0%Win rate41%
3.11Avg goals in match2.71
Recent Results
MetzLAST MATCHES
02 MayMetz1–2MonacoLigue 1
29 AprSeraing United1–1MetzFriendlies Clubs
26 AprLe Havre4–4MetzLigue 1
19 AprMetz1–3Paris FCLigue 1
10 AprMarseille3–1MetzLigue 1
05 AprMetz0–0NantesLigue 1
0Win0%
6Draw33%
12Lost67%
LAST MATCHESLorient
02 MayParis Saint Germain2–2LorientLigue 1
26 AprLorient2–3StrasbourgLigue 1
18 AprLorient2–0MarseilleLigue 1
12 AprLyon2–0LorientLigue 1
05 AprLorient1–1Paris FCLigue 1
21 MarToulouse1–0LorientLigue 1
7Win41%
6Draw35%
4Lost24%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersMetz
No reported absences
Lorient
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.70 (55.6%)
Both Teams Score1.58 (57.2%)
Value Bets
Metz Win3.12 (30.5%)
Lorient Win2.15 (47.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.13 (44.4%)
BTTS No2.27 (42.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.54 (22.2%)
