Santos vs RB Bragantino
Santos
#16 · Serie A
DDDDL
VS
Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
RB Bragantino
#7 · Serie A
WLLDW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.86
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.74 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Santos will face RB Bragantino in the Serie A at Estadio Urbano Caldeira.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Santos has a 42.3% probability of winning this match. RB Bragantino has a 33.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- RB Bragantino sit 7th in the table, 9 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Santos42.3%2.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.555.1%1.74
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%1.80
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.96
16.8%
1-0
6.72
14.9%
2-1
8.46
11.9%
0-1
8.72
11.5%
0-0
8.79
11.4%
2-0
9.67
10.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.19 | Draw 3.33 | Away 3.26 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.07 | Under 1.74 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.33 | Under 3.18 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.68 | Under 1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.80 | No 1.91 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.33 | 12 1.31 | X2 1.65 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.6%
Over 1.5 Goals70.5%
Over 2.5 Goals44.9%
Over 3.5 Goals25.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 33 | DWWDW |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 27 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 26 | LWWLD |
| 4 |  Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 23 | DWLWL |
| 6 |  Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 22 | DDLWL |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 20 | WLWLW |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 15 | DDLWL |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 11 | WLLDD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 8 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSantosRB Bragantino
1.3Goals p.g.1.17
1.3Goals conceded p.g.1.09
26%Clean sheets26%
22%Win rate35%
2.61Avg goals in match2.26
Recent Results
SantosLAST MATCHES
02 MayPalmeiras1–1SantosSerie A
28 AprSan Lorenzo1–1SantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana
25 AprBahia2–2SantosSerie A
22 AprSantos0–0CoritibaCopa Do Brasil
19 AprSantos2–3FluminenseSerie A
15 AprSantos1–1Deportivo RecoletaCONMEBOL Sudamericana
5Win22%
10Draw43%
8Lost35%
LAST MATCHESRB Bragantino
03 MayChapecoense-sc1–2RB BragantinoSerie A
01 MayRB Bragantino0–1River PlateCONMEBOL Sudamericana
26 AprRB Bragantino0–1PalmeirasSerie A
23 AprRB Bragantino1–1MirassolCopa Do Brasil
19 AprRB Bragantino4–2RemoSerie A
17 AprRB Bragantino3–2BloomingCONMEBOL Sudamericana
8Win35%
6Draw26%
9Lost39%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSantos
No reported absences
RB Bragantino
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.74 (55.1%)
Value Bets
Santos Win2.19 (42.3%)
RB Bragantino Win3.26 (33.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.07 (44.9%)
Both Teams Score1.80 (50.7%)
BTTS No1.91 (49.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.33 (24%)
