Coritiba vs Internacional
Coritiba
#8 · Serie A
LLDWD
VS
Internacional
#12 · Serie A
WDWLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.69
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 57.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Coritiba will face Internacional in the Serie A.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Coritiba has a 37.9% probability of winning this match. Internacional has a 37% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.1%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Coritiba37.9%2.66
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.557.7%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51.2%1.86
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.81
17.3%
1-0
7.22
13.9%
0-1
7.35
13.6%
0-0
7.81
12.9%
2-1
9.59
10.5%
1-2
9.72
10.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.66 | Draw 3.14 | Away 2.68 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.18 | Under 1.66 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.37 | Under 2.93 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.99 | Under 1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.86 | No 1.86 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.44 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.1%
Over 1.5 Goals68.1%
Over 2.5 Goals42.3%
Over 3.5 Goals23.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 33 | DWWDW |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 27 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 26 | LWWLD |
| 4 |  Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 23 | DWLWL |
| 6 |  Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 22 | DDLWL |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 | LLWDD |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 | WDLDW |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 11 | WLLDD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 8 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonCoritibaInternacional
1.2Goals p.g.1.4
1.1Goals conceded p.g.0.95
35%Clean sheets35%
35%Win rate45%
2.3Avg goals in match2.35
Recent Results
CoritibaLAST MATCHES
02 MayVitoria4–1CoritibaSerie A
26 AprGremio1–0CoritibaSerie A
22 AprSantos0–0CoritibaCopa Do Brasil
19 AprCoritiba2–0Atletico-MGSerie A
12 AprBotafogo2–2CoritibaSerie A
04 AprCoritiba1–1FluminenseSerie A
7Win35%
8Draw40%
5Lost25%
LAST MATCHESInternacional
03 MayInternacional2–0FluminenseSerie A
25 AprBotafogo2–2InternacionalSerie A
22 AprAthletic Club1–2InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
19 AprInternacional1–2MirassolSerie A
11 AprInternacional0–0GremioSerie A
05 AprCorinthians0–1InternacionalSerie A
9Win45%
6Draw30%
5Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCoritiba
No reported absences
Internacional
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.66 (57.7%)
Value Bets
Coritiba Win2.66 (37.9%)
Draw3.14 (25.1%)
Internacional Win2.68 (37%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.18 (42.3%)
Both Teams Score1.86 (48.8%)
BTTS No1.86 (51.2%)
