San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
#1 · Major League Soccer
DWWWW
VS
PayPal Park
Vancouver Whitecaps
#2 · Major League Soccer
DWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.52 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , San Jose Earthquakes will face Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer at PayPal Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that San Jose Earthquakes has a 39.2% probability of winning this match. Vancouver Whitecaps has a 38% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- San Jose Earthquakes are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Vancouver Whitecaps are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- San Jose Earthquakes average 2.1 goals per game
- San Jose Earthquakes boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
- San Jose Earthquakes have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — San Jose Earthquakes39.2%3.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.8%1.52
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.4%1.43
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.99
14.4%
1-2
8.45
11.9%
2-2
9.83
10.3%
2-1
9.86
10.3%
0-1
10.75
9.4%
0-2
12.56
8.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.01 | Draw 3.53 | Away 2.21 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.52 | Under 2.42 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 5.08 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.27 | Under 1.61 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.43 | No 2.62 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.64 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.36 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.4%
Over 1.5 Goals81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals56.8%
Over 3.5 Goals41.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSan Jose EarthquakesVancouver Whitecaps
2.1Goals p.g.1.72
0.7Goals conceded p.g.0.83
40%Clean sheets44%
75%Win rate56%
2.8Avg goals in match2.56
Recent Results
San Jose EarthquakesLAST MATCHES
02 MayToronto FC1–1San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
29 AprSan Jose Earthquakes4–2Minnesota United FCUS Open Cup
26 AprSt. Louis City2–3San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
23 AprSan Jose Earthquakes5–1AustinMajor League Soccer
19 AprLos Angeles FC1–4San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
16 AprSan Jose Earthquakes2–0Phoenix RisingUS Open Cup
15Win75%
2Draw10%
1Lost5%
LAST MATCHESVancouver Whitecaps
03 MayLos Angeles Galaxy1–1Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
26 AprVancouver Whitecaps3–1Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
18 AprVancouver Whitecaps3–0Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
11 AprVancouver Whitecaps2–0New York City FCMajor League Soccer
05 AprVancouver Whitecaps3–2Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
22 MarVancouver Whitecaps0–1San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
10Win56%
2Draw11%
5Lost28%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSan Jose Earthquakes
No reported absences
Vancouver Whitecaps
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.52 (56.8%)
Both Teams Score1.43 (60.4%)
Value Bets
San Jose Earthquakes Win3.01 (39.2%)
Vancouver Whitecaps Win2.21 (38%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.42 (43.2%)
BTTS No2.62 (39.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.53 (22.8%)
