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Rio Ave vs Sporting CP

Primeira LigaRegular Season - 33
Rio Ave
#12 · Primeira Liga
DLDWL
VS
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
Sporting CP
#3 · Primeira Liga
WDDDL
18%
Home Win
15.3%
Draw
66.7%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.90
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.78 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 51.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Rio Ave will face Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Rio Ave has a 18% probability of winning this match. Sporting CP has a 66.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 15.3%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Sporting CP sit 3rd in the table, 9 places above their opponents
  • Sporting CP average 2.0 goals per game

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Strong confidence
Match Result
2 — Sporting CP66.7%1.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.8%1.42
Both Teams to Score
No51.3%1.78
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
0-2
6.46
15.6%
0-3
7.17
14%
0-1
8.22
12.3%
1-2
8.64
11.7%
1-3
9.62
10.6%
0-4
10.00
10.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 13.50Draw 6.36Away 1.20
O/U 2.5Over 1.42Under 2.68
O/U 1.5Over 1.11Under 5.61
O/U 3.5Over 2.10Under 1.72
BTTSYes 1.94No 1.78
Double Chance1X 4.3712 1.10X2 1.03

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
83.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
59.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
45.1%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Primeira Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Porto
32274164154985
WWWWD
2
Benfica
322210069224776
DWWWD
3
Sporting CP
32237282235976
WDDLW
4
SC Braga
32169760322857
DLWDW
5
Famalicao
321410841291252
DWDDD
6
GIL Vicente
321311846321450
DWLDW
12
Rio Ave
32811133352-1935
DLDWL
16
Casa Pia
32511162956-2726
LLLDL
17
Tondela
32510172452-2825
WDLLD
18
AVS
32211192466-4217
WDDDL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Rio AveSporting CP
0.82Goals p.g.2
1.65Goals conceded p.g.1
24%Clean sheets36%
29%Win rate59%
2.47Avg goals in match3

Recent Results

Rio AveLAST MATCHES
03 MayRio Ave0–0GIL VicentePrimeira Liga
25 AprGuimaraes2–0Rio AvePrimeira Liga
17 AprRio Ave2–2AVSPrimeira Liga
11 AprSanta Clara0–2Rio AvePrimeira Liga
04 AprRio Ave1–2AlvercaPrimeira Liga
22 MarEstoril1–2Rio AvePrimeira Liga
5Win29%
3Draw18%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESSporting CP
04 MaySporting CP5–1GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
29 AprSporting CP2–2TondelaPrimeira Liga
26 AprAVS1–1Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
22 AprFC Porto0–0Sporting CPTaça de Portugal
19 AprSporting CP1–2BenficaPrimeira Liga
15 AprArsenal0–0Sporting CPUEFA Champions League
13Win59%
6Draw27%
3Lost14%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Rio Ave

No reported absences

Sporting CP

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Sporting CP Win1.20 (66.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.42 (59.8%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.68 (40.2%)
Both Teams Score1.94 (48.7%)
BTTS No1.78 (51.3%)
●Speculative
Rio Ave Win13.50 (18%)
Draw6.36 (15.3%)
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro