Alverca vs Estoril
Alverca
#10 · Primeira Liga
LWLWW
VS
FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo
Estoril
#9 · Primeira Liga
DLLLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Alverca will face Estoril in the Primeira Liga at FC Alverca Sports Complex.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Alverca has a 45.2% probability of winning this match. Estoril has a 31.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Alverca have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Alverca45.2%2.43
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.1%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.5%1.58
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.33
15.9%
2-1
8.75
11.6%
1-2
9.29
10.9%
1-0
9.32
10.8%
0-1
9.97
10.2%
2-2
10.97
9.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.43 | Draw 3.44 | Away 2.76 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.73 | Under 2.07 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 3.97 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.72 | Under 1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.58 | No 2.25 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.42 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.54 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.7%
Over 1.5 Goals76.5%
Over 2.5 Goals56.1%
Over 3.5 Goals34.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64 | 15 | 49 | 85 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 76 | DWWWD |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 76 | WDDLW |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 57 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 52 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 50 | DWLDW |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 38 | DLLLL |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 38 | LWLWW |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 56 | -27 | 26 | LLLDL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 25 | WDLLD |
| 18 |  AVS | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24 | 66 | -42 | 17 | WDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAlvercaEstoril
1.12Goals p.g.1.71
1.59Goals conceded p.g.1.65
12%Clean sheets18%
29%Win rate35%
2.71Avg goals in match3.35
Recent Results
AlvercaLAST MATCHES
02 MayFC Porto1–0AlvercaPrimeira Liga
24 AprAlverca2–1AroucaPrimeira Liga
18 AprNacional1–0AlvercaPrimeira Liga
12 AprAlverca3–1Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
04 AprRio Ave1–2AlvercaPrimeira Liga
22 MarAlverca1–4Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
5Win29%
6Draw35%
6Lost35%
LAST MATCHESEstoril
03 MaySC Braga1–1EstorilPrimeira Liga
26 AprEstoril0–1FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
20 AprMoreirense1–0EstorilPrimeira Liga
12 AprEstoril1–3FC PortoPrimeira Liga
06 AprArouca3–2EstorilPrimeira Liga
22 MarEstoril1–2Rio AvePrimeira Liga
6Win35%
3Draw18%
8Lost47%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAlverca
No reported absences
Estoril
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.73 (56.1%)
Both Teams Score1.58 (59.5%)
Value Bets
Alverca Win2.43 (45.2%)
Estoril Win2.76 (31.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.07 (43.9%)
BTTS No2.25 (40.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.44 (23%)
