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Estrela vs Famalicao

Primeira LigaRegular Season - 33
Estrela
#15 · Primeira Liga
LLLLL
VS
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Famalicao
#5 · Primeira Liga
DWDDD
25.1%
Home Win
23.1%
Draw
51.9%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Estrela will face Famalicao in the Primeira Liga at Estádio José Gomes.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Estrela has a 25.1% probability of winning this match. Famalicao has a 51.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.1%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Famalicao are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Famalicao sit 5th in the table, 10 places above their opponents
  • Famalicao have kept clean sheets in 41% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — Famalicao51.9%1.98
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.550.3%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.7%1.69
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.24
16.1%
0-1
7.28
13.8%
1-2
7.91
12.7%
0-2
9.20
11.1%
0-0
10.47
9.8%
1-0
10.53
9.6%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 3.72Draw 3.46Away 1.98
O/U 2.5Over 1.85Under 1.93
O/U 1.5Over 1.25Under 3.57
O/U 3.5Over 3.05Under 1.33
BTTSYes 1.69No 2.05
Double Chance1X 1.8012 1.28X2 1.26

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
50.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
30.4%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Primeira Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Porto
32274164154985
WWWWD
2
Benfica
322210069224776
DWWWD
3
Sporting CP
32237282235976
WDDLW
4
SC Braga
32169760322857
DLWDW
5
Famalicao
321410841291252
DWDDD
6
GIL Vicente
321311846321450
DWLDW
15
Estrela
32610163654-1828
LLLLL
16
Casa Pia
32511162956-2726
LLLDL
17
Tondela
32510172452-2825
WDLLD
18
AVS
32211192466-4217
WDDDL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
EstrelaFamalicao
1Goals p.g.1.35
1.82Goals conceded p.g.1.12
18%Clean sheets41%
12%Win rate47%
2.82Avg goals in match2.47

Recent Results

EstrelaLAST MATCHES
02 MayMoreirense3–2EstrelaPrimeira Liga
26 AprEstrela1–2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
19 AprArouca1–0EstrelaPrimeira Liga
11 AprEstrela0–1Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
04 AprNacional2–0EstrelaPrimeira Liga
20 MarEstrela4–0Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
2Win12%
5Draw29%
10Lost59%
LAST MATCHESFamalicao
02 MayFamalicao2–2BenficaPrimeira Liga
26 AprEstoril0–1FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
19 AprSC Braga2–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
10 AprFamalicao1–1MoreirensePrimeira Liga
04 AprFC Porto2–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
21 MarFamalicao1–0NacionalPrimeira Liga
8Win47%
5Draw29%
4Lost24%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Estrela

No reported absences

Famalicao

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets
Estrela Win3.72 (25.1%)
Famalicao Win1.98 (51.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.85 (50.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.93 (49.7%)
Both Teams Score1.69 (53.7%)
BTTS No2.05 (46.3%)
●Speculative
Draw3.46 (23.1%)
Estrela vs Famalicao Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro