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Benfica vs SC Braga

Primeira LigaRegular Season - 33
Benfica
#2 · Primeira Liga
DWWWD
VS
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisbon
SC Braga
#4 · Primeira Liga
DWLWD
61.3%
Home Win
18.8%
Draw
20%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.68
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 57.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Benfica will face SC Braga in the Primeira Liga at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Benfica has a 61.3% probability of winning this match. SC Braga has a 20% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.8%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Benfica have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Benfica are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Benfica average 2.1 goals per game
  • SC Braga have kept clean sheets in 45% of their matches
  • With a combined average of 4.0 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
1 — Benfica61.3%1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.1%1.62
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.4%1.81
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-0
6.87
14.6%
1-0
7.22
13.9%
2-1
7.61
13.2%
1-1
8.28
12.2%
3-0
9.27
10.9%
3-1
10.42
9.7%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.40Draw 4.67Away 7.15
O/U 2.5Over 1.62Under 2.25
O/U 1.5Over 1.18Under 4.41
O/U 3.5Over 2.53Under 1.47
BTTSYes 1.81No 1.91
Double Chance1X 1.0912 1.17X2 2.83

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
78.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
57.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
36.7%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Primeira Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Porto
32274164154985
WWWWD
2
Benfica
322210069224776
DWWWD
3
Sporting CP
32237282235976
WDDLW
4
SC Braga
32169760322857
DLWDW
5
Famalicao
321410841291252
DWDDD
6
GIL Vicente
321311846321450
DWLDW
16
Casa Pia
32511162956-2726
LLLDL
17
Tondela
32510172452-2825
WDLLD
18
AVS
32211192466-4217
WDDDL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
BenficaSC Braga
2.12Goals p.g.1.86
0.94Goals conceded p.g.0.91
29%Clean sheets45%
65%Win rate59%
3.06Avg goals in match2.77

Recent Results

BenficaLAST MATCHES
02 MayFamalicao2–2BenficaPrimeira Liga
25 AprBenfica4–1MoreirensePrimeira Liga
19 AprSporting CP1–2BenficaPrimeira Liga
12 AprBenfica2–0NacionalPrimeira Liga
06 AprCasa Pia1–1BenficaPrimeira Liga
21 MarBenfica3–0GuimaraesPrimeira Liga
11Win65%
4Draw24%
2Lost12%
LAST MATCHESSC Braga
03 MaySC Braga1–1EstorilPrimeira Liga
30 AprSC Braga2–1SC FreiburgUEFA Europa League
26 AprSanta Clara2–1SC BragaPrimeira Liga
23 AprCasa Pia0–1SC BragaPrimeira Liga
19 AprSC Braga2–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
16 AprReal Betis2–4SC BragaUEFA Europa League
13Win59%
5Draw23%
4Lost18%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Benfica

No reported absences

SC Braga

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Benfica Win1.40 (61.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.62 (57.1%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.25 (42.9%)
Both Teams Score1.81 (54.4%)
BTTS No1.91 (45.6%)
●Speculative
Draw4.67 (18.8%)
SC Braga Win7.15 (20%)
Benfica vs SC Braga Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro