Rennes vs Paris FC
Rennes
#5 · Ligue 1
LWWWW
VS
Roazhon Park, Rennes
Referee: T. Leonard
Paris FC
#11 · Ligue 1
WLWWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Rennes will face Paris FC in the Ligue 1 at Roazhon Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Rennes has a 58% probability of winning this match. Paris FC has a 22.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Rennes are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Paris FC have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Rennes58%1.49
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.3%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.1%1.60
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.58
13.3%
1-1
8.37
12%
2-0
8.38
12%
1-0
8.89
11.3%
3-1
10.26
9.8%
3-0
11.16
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.49 | Draw 4.52 | Away 5.58 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.49 | Under 2.51 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.14 | Under 5.17 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.25 | Under 1.64 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.60 | No 2.23 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.14 | 12 1.18 | X2 2.49 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.3%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals59.3%
Over 3.5 Goals42.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 |  Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 41 | WLWWD |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonRennesParis FC
1.76Goals p.g.1.35
1.53Goals conceded p.g.1.06
29%Clean sheets35%
53%Win rate41%
3.29Avg goals in match2.41
Recent Results
RennesLAST MATCHES
03 MayLyon4–2RennesLigue 1
26 AprRennes2–1NantesLigue 1
19 AprStrasbourg0–3RennesLigue 1
11 AprRennes2–1AngersLigue 1
04 AprStade Brestois 293–4RennesLigue 1
22 MarRennes0–0MetzLigue 1
9Win53%
2Draw12%
6Lost35%
LAST MATCHESParis FC
03 MayParis FC4–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
26 AprParis FC0–1LilleLigue 1
19 AprMetz1–3Paris FCLigue 1
10 AprParis FC4–1MonacoLigue 1
05 AprLorient1–1Paris FCLigue 1
22 MarParis FC3–2Le HavreLigue 1
7Win41%
7Draw41%
3Lost18%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRennes
No reported absences
Paris FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Rennes Win1.49 (58%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.49 (59.3%)
Both Teams Score1.60 (58.1%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.51 (40.7%)
BTTS No2.23 (41.9%)
Speculative
Draw4.52 (19.1%)
Paris FC Win5.58 (22.9%)
