Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
#11 · Ligue 1
WLWWD
VS
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Paris Saint Germain
#1 · Ligue 1
DWWWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.54
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Paris FC will face Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 at Stade Jean Bouin.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Paris FC has a 26.4% probability of winning this match. Paris Saint Germain has a 56.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Paris FC have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Paris Saint Germain have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in the table, 10 places above their opponents
- Paris Saint Germain average 2.5 goals per game
- Paris Saint Germain have kept clean sheets in 48% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
2 — Paris Saint Germain56.5%1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564.4%1.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.3%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-2
8.10
12.3%
0-2
9.30
10.8%
1-1
9.70
10.3%
1-3
10.00
10%
1-4
10.50
9.5%
0-1
11.00
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 5.87 | Draw 5.56 | Away 1.50 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.37 | Under 3.00 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.09 | Under 6.80 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.06 | Under 1.89 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.54 | No 2.44 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.77 | 12 1.18 | X2 1.17 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals—
Over 1.5 Goals86.2%
Over 2.5 Goals64.4%
Over 3.5 Goals47.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 |  Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 41 | WLWWD |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonParis FCParis Saint Germain
1.35Goals p.g.2.52
1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.1
35%Clean sheets48%
41%Win rate71%
2.41Avg goals in match3.62
Recent Results
Paris FCLAST MATCHES
03 MayParis FC4–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
26 AprParis FC0–1LilleLigue 1
19 AprMetz1–3Paris FCLigue 1
10 AprParis FC4–1MonacoLigue 1
05 AprLorient1–1Paris FCLigue 1
22 MarParis FC3–2Le HavreLigue 1
7Win41%
7Draw41%
3Lost18%
LAST MATCHESParis Saint Germain
02 MayParis Saint Germain2–2LorientLigue 1
28 AprParis Saint Germain5–4Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League
25 AprAngers0–3Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
22 AprParis Saint Germain3–0NantesLigue 1
19 AprParis Saint Germain1–2LyonLigue 1
14 AprLiverpool0–2Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League
15Win71%
3Draw14%
3Lost14%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersParis FC
No reported absences
Paris Saint Germain
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Paris Saint Germain Win1.50 (56.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.37 (64.4%)
Both Teams Score1.54 (60.3%)
Value Bets
Paris FC Win5.87 (26.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals3.00 (35.6%)
BTTS No2.44 (39.7%)
Speculative
Draw5.56 (17.1%)
