New York City FC vs Columbus Crew
New York City FC
#9 · Major League Soccer
LWLDL
VS
Yankee Stadium
Columbus Crew
#10 · Major League Soccer
LWWWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , New York City FC will face Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer at Yankee Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that New York City FC has a 41.2% probability of winning this match. Columbus Crew has a 36.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Columbus Crew have won 3 of their last 5 games
- With a combined average of 3.5 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — New York City FC41.2%2.35
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.7%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.43
15.6%
2-1
8.24
12.3%
1-0
8.97
11.2%
1-2
9.34
10.8%
0-1
10.06
10%
2-2
10.94
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.35 | Draw 3.51 | Away 2.78 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.70 | Under 2.10 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.21 | Under 4.17 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.74 | Under 1.43 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.57 | No 2.25 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.41 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.57 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.5%
Over 1.5 Goals77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals58%
Over 3.5 Goals34.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 9 | New York City FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 12 | LWWLD |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonNew York City FCColumbus Crew
1.75Goals p.g.1.8
1.65Goals conceded p.g.1.2
15%Clean sheets20%
35%Win rate40%
3.4Avg goals in match3
Recent Results
New York City FCLAST MATCHES
03 MayNew York City FC0–2DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
29 AprNew York Red Bulls1–3New York City FCUS Open Cup
25 AprCF Montreal1–0New York City FCMajor League Soccer
22 AprNew York City FC4–4FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
18 AprNew York City FC1–2CharlotteMajor League Soccer
14 AprWestchester SC2–5New York City FCUS Open Cup
7Win35%
5Draw25%
8Lost40%
LAST MATCHESColumbus Crew
02 MayColumbus Crew2–3Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
29 AprColumbus Crew4–1One KnoxvilleUS Open Cup
25 AprColumbus Crew2–0Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
22 AprColumbus Crew2–1Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
18 AprNew England Revolution2–1Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
15 AprRichmond Kickers0–3Columbus CrewUS Open Cup
8Win40%
4Draw20%
8Lost40%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNew York City FC
No reported absences
Columbus Crew
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.70 (58%)
Both Teams Score1.57 (60.7%)
Value Bets
New York City FC Win2.35 (41.2%)
Columbus Crew Win2.78 (36.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.10 (42%)
BTTS No2.25 (39.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.51 (22.5%)
