Minnesota United FC vs Austin
Minnesota United FC
#5 · Major League Soccer
WLLWW
VS
Allianz Field
Austin
#11 · Major League Soccer
WWLDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Minnesota United FC will face Austin in the Major League Soccer at Allianz Field.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Minnesota United FC has a 53.7% probability of winning this match. Austin has a 25% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Minnesota United FC have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Minnesota United FC have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Minnesota United FC53.7%1.69
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.9%1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.2%1.70
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.91
14.5%
1-0
7.36
13.6%
2-1
7.55
13.3%
2-0
7.97
12.7%
3-1
11.58
8.8%
0-0
11.78
8.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.69 | Draw 3.85 | Away 4.57 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.71 | Under 2.09 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.21 | Under 4.08 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.77 | Under 1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.70 | No 2.04 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.18 | 12 1.23 | X2 2.11 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.7%
Over 1.5 Goals77%
Over 2.5 Goals53.9%
Over 3.5 Goals33.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Minnesota United FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 11 | Austin | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonMinnesota United FCAustin
1.25Goals p.g.1.11
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.68
40%Clean sheets32%
35%Win rate21%
2.75Avg goals in match2.79
Recent Results
Minnesota United FCLAST MATCHES
02 MayColumbus Crew2–3Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
29 AprSan Jose Earthquakes4–2Minnesota United FCUS Open Cup
25 AprMinnesota United FC0–1Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
23 AprFC Dallas0–1Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
19 AprMinnesota United FC2–0Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
15 AprSacramento Republic0–0Minnesota United FCUS Open Cup
7Win35%
6Draw30%
7Lost35%
LAST MATCHESAustin
03 MayAustin2–0St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
26 AprAustin2–0Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
23 AprSan Jose Earthquakes5–1AustinMajor League Soccer
18 AprToronto FC3–3AustinMajor League Soccer
14 AprLouisville City2–1AustinUS Open Cup
11 AprAustin1–2Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
4Win21%
6Draw32%
9Lost47%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersMinnesota United FC
No reported absences
Austin
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.70 (55.2%)
Value Bets
Minnesota United FC Win1.69 (53.7%)
Austin Win4.57 (25%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.71 (53.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.09 (46.1%)
BTTS No2.04 (44.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.85 (21.4%)
