Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
#3 · Major League Soccer
DWWDL
VS
BMO Stadium
Houston Dynamo
#8 · Major League Soccer
WWLWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Los Angeles FC will face Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer at BMO Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Los Angeles FC has a 55.7% probability of winning this match. Houston Dynamo has a 23.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Houston Dynamo are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Los Angeles FC boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
- Los Angeles FC have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
- With a combined average of 3.5 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Los Angeles FC55.7%1.61
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.9%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.1%1.62
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.43
13.5%
2-1
7.55
13.3%
1-0
8.12
12.4%
2-0
8.32
12.1%
3-1
10.72
9.5%
3-0
11.85
8.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.61 | Draw 4.08 | Away 4.83 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.60 | Under 2.28 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.18 | Under 4.59 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.49 | Under 1.49 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.62 | No 2.17 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.17 | 12 1.20 | X2 2.23 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.4%
Over 1.5 Goals79.6%
Over 2.5 Goals56.9%
Over 3.5 Goals37.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 23 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 | DWDLL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LDWWD |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 | WLWWL |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 | DLDDW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonLos Angeles FCHouston Dynamo
1.77Goals p.g.1.75
0.73Goals conceded p.g.1.45
50%Clean sheets25%
55%Win rate60%
2.5Avg goals in match3.2
Recent Results
Los Angeles FCLAST MATCHES
03 MaySan Diego2–2Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
30 AprLos Angeles FC2–1TolucaCONCACAF Champions League
25 AprMinnesota United FC0–1Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
23 AprLos Angeles FC0–0Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
19 AprLos Angeles FC1–4San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
15 AprCruz Azul1–1Los Angeles FCCONCACAF Champions League
12Win55%
7Draw32%
2Lost9%
LAST MATCHESHouston Dynamo
03 MayHouston Dynamo1–0Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
30 AprHouston Dynamo2–1Louisville CityUS Open Cup
26 AprAustin2–0Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
23 AprHouston Dynamo1–0San DiegoMajor League Soccer
18 AprOrlando City SC0–1Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
16 AprHouston Dynamo4–1El Paso LocomotiveUS Open Cup
12Win60%
3Draw15%
5Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLos Angeles FC
No reported absences
Houston Dynamo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Los Angeles FC Win1.61 (55.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.60 (56.9%)
Both Teams Score1.62 (57.1%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.28 (43.1%)
BTTS No2.17 (42.9%)
Speculative
Draw4.08 (20.4%)
Houston Dynamo Win4.83 (23.9%)
