Lille vs Auxerre
Lille
#4 · Ligue 1
DWDWW
VS
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Auxerre
#16 · Ligue 1
WLDDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.80 (implied 55.6%) for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 56.1% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.78. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Lille will face Auxerre in the Ligue 1 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lille has a 66.5% probability of winning this match. Auxerre has a 15.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Lille have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Lille are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Lille sit 4th in the table, 12 places above their opponents
- Lille boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
- Lille have kept clean sheets in 47% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Lille66.5%1.37
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.5%2.25
Both Teams to Score
No56.1%1.80
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
6.10
16.4%
1-0
6.70
14.9%
2-1
8.20
12.2%
3-0
8.20
12.2%
1-1
8.90
11.2%
4-0
9.30
10.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.37 | Draw 5.75 | Away 8.75 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.75 | Under 2.25 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.19 | Under 4.30 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.70 | Under 1.45 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.02 | No 1.80 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.09 | 12 1.17 | X2 3.34 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals—
Over 1.5 Goals78.3%
Over 2.5 Goals46.5%
Over 3.5 Goals34.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 | DWWLW |
| 2 |  Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 64 | DDWLW |
| 3 |  Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 60 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 58 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 56 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 54 | WDDLW |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 | WLDDD |
| 17 |  Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 23 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 72 | -40 | 16 | LDLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLilleAuxerre
1.05Goals p.g.1
0.74Goals conceded p.g.1.18
47%Clean sheets29%
47%Win rate18%
1.79Avg goals in match2.18
Recent Results
LilleLAST MATCHES
03 MayLille1–1Le HavreLigue 1
26 AprParis FC0–1LilleLigue 1
18 AprLille0–0NiceLigue 1
12 AprToulouse0–4LilleLigue 1
04 AprLille3–0LensLigue 1
22 MarMarseille1–2LilleLigue 1
9Win47%
5Draw26%
5Lost26%
LAST MATCHESAuxerre
03 MayAuxerre3–1AngersLigue 1
25 AprLyon3–2AuxerreLigue 1
19 AprMonaco2–2AuxerreLigue 1
11 AprAuxerre0–0NantesLigue 1
05 AprLe Havre1–1AuxerreLigue 1
21 MarAuxerre3–0Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
3Win18%
7Draw41%
7Lost41%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLille
No reported absences
Auxerre
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Lille Win1.37 (66.5%)
BTTS No1.80 (56.1%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.75 (46.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.25 (53.5%)
Both Teams Score2.02 (43.9%)
Speculative
Draw5.75 (17.9%)
Auxerre Win8.75 (15.6%)
