FC Winterthur vs Lausanne
FC Winterthur
#6 · Super League
DLLLW
VS
Lausanne
#3 · Super League
LWLWL
★ OUR PICK
Lausanne to Win
Slight away form and superior underlying numbers over FC Winterthur make Lausanne the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.82
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.79 for Lausanne to Win. Our model calculates a 48.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Winterthur will face Lausanne in the Super League.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Winterthur has a 31.4% probability of winning this match. Lausanne has a 48% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Lausanne48%1.79
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.566.1%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes65.9%1.43
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.86
12.8%
1-2
8.06
12.5%
2-2
10.61
9.6%
0-1
10.78
9.4%
0-2
11.08
9.2%
1-3
11.48
8.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.76 | Draw 3.89 | Away 1.79 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.43 | Under 2.63 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.12 | Under 5.50 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.10 | Under 1.69 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.43 | No 2.59 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.94 | 12 1.22 | X2 1.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.8%
Over 1.5 Goals83.1%
Over 2.5 Goals66.1%
Over 3.5 Goals44.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Thun | 35 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 74 | LLWLL |
| 1 |  FC Luzern | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 46 | WWDLW |
| 2 |  Servette FC | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 46 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  FC ST. Gallen | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 63 | LWDWD |
| 3 | Lausanne | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 42 | LWLWL |
| 3 |  FC Lugano | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 | WWWWD |
| 5 |  FC Basel 1893 | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 56 | WLLDW |
| 6 |  BSC Young Boys | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 63 | 3 | 48 | LLDDD |
| 6 | FC Winterthur | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 40 | 93 | -53 | 20 | DLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFC WinterthurLausanne
1.12Goals p.g.1.31
2.47Goals conceded p.g.2.12
0%Clean sheets6%
18%Win rate25%
3.59Avg goals in match3.44
Recent Results
FC WinterthurLAST MATCHES
02 MayFC Winterthur2–2FC ZurichSuper League
26 AprServette FC5–3FC WinterthurSuper League
11 AprFC Winterthur0–2GrasshoppersSuper League
04 AprLausanne2–1FC WinterthurSuper League
27 MarFC Winterthur2–1Neuchatel Xamax FCFriendlies Clubs
22 MarFC Winterthur0–2FC Basel 1893Super League
3Win18%
4Draw24%
10Lost59%
LAST MATCHESLausanne
02 MayLausanne1–3FC LuzernSuper League
25 AprLausanne3–0FC ZurichSuper League
12 AprFC Sion3–0LausanneSuper League
04 AprLausanne2–1FC WinterthurSuper League
22 MarFC Luzern4–0LausanneSuper League
15 MarLausanne0–2BSC Young BoysSuper League
4Win25%
3Draw19%
9Lost56%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Winterthur
No reported absences
Lausanne
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.43 (66.1%)
Both Teams Score1.43 (65.9%)
Value Bets
FC Winterthur Win3.76 (31.4%)
Lausanne Win1.79 (48%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.63 (33.9%)
BTTS No2.59 (34.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.89 (20.6%)
