FC Sion vs FC Thun

FC Sion
#4 · Super League
WWWWD
VS
Stade de Tourbillon, Sion

FC Thun
#1 · Super League
LLWLL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.58
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 59.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Sion will face FC Thun in the Super League at Stade de Tourbillon.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Sion has a 50.7% probability of winning this match. FC Thun has a 27.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FC Sion are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- FC Thun average 2.3 goals per game
- FC Sion have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
- With a combined average of 4.1 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — FC Sion50.7%1.98
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.7%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes61.9%1.49
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.96
14.5%
2-1
8.12
12.4%
1-0
9.68
10.4%
1-2
10.68
9.5%
2-2
10.66
9.5%
2-0
11.14
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.98 | Draw 3.62 | Away 3.31 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.57 | Under 2.32 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.66 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.36 | Under 1.53 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.49 | No 2.44 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.30 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.76 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.5%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Over 2.5 Goals59.7%
Over 3.5 Goals39.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 74 | LLWLL | |
| 1 | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 46 | WWDLW | |
| 2 | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 46 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 63 | LWDWD | |
| 3 | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 42 | LWLWL | |
| 3 | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 | WWWWD | |
| 4 | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 58 | WWWWD | |
| 5 | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 56 | WLLDW | |
| 6 | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 63 | 3 | 48 | LLDDD | |
| 6 | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 40 | 93 | -53 | 20 | DLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFC SionFC Thun
1.81Goals p.g.2.31
0.94Goals conceded p.g.1.12
44%Clean sheets12%
44%Win rate69%
2.75Avg goals in match3.44
Recent Results
FC SionLAST MATCHES
03 MayFC ST. Gallen0–3FC SionSuper League
26 AprFC Basel 18930–2FC SionSuper League
12 AprFC Sion3–0LausanneSuper League
06 AprGrasshoppers0–4FC SionSuper League
21 MarFC Sion1–1FC ST. GallenSuper League
14 MarFC Zurich1–2FC SionSuper League
7Win44%
6Draw38%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESFC Thun
02 MayFC Basel 18933–1FC ThunSuper League
25 AprFC Thun0–1FC LuganoSuper League
18 AprFC Thun3–1FC Basel 1893Super League
04 AprFC Lugano1–0FC ThunSuper League
21 MarFC Zurich2–1FC ThunSuper League
14 MarFC Thun5–1GrasshoppersSuper League
11Win69%
1Draw6%
4Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
FC Sion
No reported absences
FC Thun
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.57 (59.7%)
Both Teams Score1.49 (61.9%)
Value Bets
FC Sion Win1.98 (50.7%)
FC Thun Win3.31 (27.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.32 (40.3%)
BTTS No2.44 (38.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.62 (21.9%)









