FC Luzern vs Servette FC

FC Luzern
#1 · Super League
WWDLW
VS
Swissporarena, Luzern

Servette FC
#2 · Super League
WWDWW
★ OUR PICK
FC Luzern to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Servette FC make FC Luzern the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.10
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.05 for FC Luzern to Win. Our model calculates a 46.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , FC Luzern will face Servette FC in the Super League at Swissporarena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Luzern has a 46.2% probability of winning this match. Servette FC has a 32.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- FC Luzern have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Servette FC are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- FC Luzern average 2.1 goals per game
- Servette FC average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 4.2 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — FC Luzern46.2%2.05
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.565.7%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes66.8%1.42
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.61
13.2%
2-1
8.51
11.9%
2-2
10.23
9.9%
1-2
10.26
9.9%
1-0
11.46
8.8%
2-0
12.61
8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.05 | Draw 3.71 | Away 3.08 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.47 | Under 2.52 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.13 | Under 5.18 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.16 | Under 1.65 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.42 | No 2.64 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.34 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.4%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals65.7%
Over 3.5 Goals43.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 74 | LLWLL | |
| 1 | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 46 | WWDLW | |
| 2 | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 46 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 63 | LWDWD | |
| 3 | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 42 | LWLWL | |
| 3 | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 | WWWWD | |
| 5 | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 56 | WLLDW | |
| 6 | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 63 | 3 | 48 | LLDDD | |
| 6 | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 40 | 93 | -53 | 20 | DLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFC LuzernServette FC
2.06Goals p.g.2.12
1.56Goals conceded p.g.1.44
12%Clean sheets25%
44%Win rate38%
3.62Avg goals in match3.56
Recent Results
FC LuzernLAST MATCHES
02 MayLausanne1–3FC LuzernSuper League
25 AprGrasshoppers1–2FC LuzernSuper League
12 AprFC Luzern2–2FC ST. GallenSuper League
06 AprServette FC3–0FC LuzernSuper League
22 MarFC Luzern4–0LausanneSuper League
15 MarFC Luzern1–2FC WinterthurSuper League
7Win44%
4Draw25%
5Lost31%
LAST MATCHESServette FC
03 MayGrasshoppers0–2Servette FCSuper League
26 AprServette FC5–3FC WinterthurSuper League
12 AprBSC Young Boys1–1Servette FCSuper League
06 AprServette FC3–0FC LuzernSuper League
21 MarServette FC5–0GrasshoppersSuper League
15 MarFC Basel 18933–1Servette FCSuper League
6Win38%
8Draw50%
2Lost13%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
FC Luzern
No reported absences
Servette FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.47 (65.7%)
Both Teams Score1.42 (66.8%)
Value Bets
FC Luzern Win2.05 (46.2%)
Servette FC Win3.08 (32.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.52 (34.3%)
BTTS No2.64 (33.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.71 (21.3%)









