Home›Super League›FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen Predictions

FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen

Super LeagueChampionship Group - 36
FC Lugano
#3 · Super League
WWWWL
VS
Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
FC ST. Gallen
#2 · Super League
LWWDW
45.6%
Home Win
22.3%
Draw
32%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.58
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , FC Lugano will face FC ST. Gallen in the Super League at Stadio di Cornaredo.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that FC Lugano has a 45.6% probability of winning this match. FC ST. Gallen has a 32% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.3%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • FC Lugano are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • FC ST. Gallen have won 3 of their last 5 games

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — FC Lugano45.6%2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.1%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.7%1.47
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.84
14.7%
2-1
8.58
11.7%
1-2
9.76
10.4%
1-0
10.24
9.9%
2-2
10.48
9.7%
0-1
11.73
8.6%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.20Draw 3.58Away 2.88
O/U 2.5Over 1.57Under 2.32
O/U 1.5Over 1.16Under 4.69
O/U 3.5Over 2.36Under 1.52
BTTSYes 1.47No 2.48
Double Chance1X 1.3812 1.26X2 1.61

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
56.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
39.2%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Super League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Thun
35242976413574
LLWLL
1
FC Luzern
351210136963646
WWDLW
2
Servette FC
351113116460446
WWDWW
2
FC ST. Gallen
35189866442263
LWDWD
3
Lausanne
35119155160-942
LWLWL
3
FC Lugano
35189852381463
WWWWD
5
FC Basel 1893
35168115448656
WLLDW
6
BSC Young Boys
35139136663348
LLDDD
6
FC Winterthur
3548234093-5320
DLLLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
FC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
1.47Goals p.g.1.76
1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.12
24%Clean sheets18%
47%Win rate47%
2.53Avg goals in match2.88

Recent Results

FC LuganoLAST MATCHES
03 MayFC Lugano1–0BSC Young BoysSuper League
25 AprFC Thun0–1FC LuganoSuper League
11 AprFC Zurich0–1FC LuganoSuper League
04 AprFC Lugano1–0FC ThunSuper League
25 MarFC Lugano1–3TaverneFriendlies Clubs
22 MarBSC Young Boys1–1FC LuganoSuper League
8Win47%
6Draw35%
3Lost18%
LAST MATCHESFC ST. Gallen
03 MayFC ST. Gallen0–3FC SionSuper League
26 AprBSC Young Boys1–2FC ST. GallenSuper League
19 AprYverdon Sport0–2FC ST. GallenSchweizer Cup
12 AprFC Luzern2–2FC ST. GallenSuper League
06 AprFC ST. Gallen2–1FC ZurichSuper League
21 MarFC Sion1–1FC ST. GallenSuper League
8Win47%
8Draw47%
1Lost6%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

FC Lugano

No reported absences

FC ST. Gallen

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.57 (56.1%)
Both Teams Score1.47 (59.7%)
●Value Bets
FC Lugano Win2.20 (45.6%)
FC ST. Gallen Win2.88 (32%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.32 (43.9%)
BTTS No2.48 (40.3%)
●Speculative
Draw3.58 (22.3%)
FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro