Telstar vs Heracles
Telstar
#15 · Eredivisie
DWLLW
VS
BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Heracles
#18 · Eredivisie
LLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Telstar will face Heracles in the Eredivisie at BUKO Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Telstar has a 71.7% probability of winning this match. Heracles has a 11.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 16.7%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Telstar71.7%1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564.8%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
8.06
12.5%
2-0
8.11
12.4%
3-0
9.35
10.7%
3-1
9.47
10.6%
1-0
9.80
10.2%
1-1
10.28
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.32 | Draw 5.37 | Away 7.63 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.38 | Under 2.89 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.10 | Under 6.29 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.99 | Under 1.80 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.61 | No 2.17 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.08 | 12 1.13 | X2 3.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.9%
Over 1.5 Goals85.1%
Over 2.5 Goals64.8%
Over 3.5 Goals47.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 92 | 43 | 49 | 78 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 61 | WWDDD |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 74 | 50 | 24 | 56 | DDDWD |
| 4 |  Ajax | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 55 | DWWLD |
| 5 |  Twente | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 55 | DDWWW |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 | DDWWL |
| 15 | Telstar | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 31 | DWLLW |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 31 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 18 | Heracles | 32 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 34 | 80 | -46 | 19 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonTelstarHeracles
1.56Goals p.g.0.62
1.69Goals conceded p.g.2.38
6%Clean sheets6%
31%Win rate6%
3.25Avg goals in match3
Recent Results
TelstarLAST MATCHES
02 MayNEC Nijmegen1–1TelstarEredivisie
22 AprTelstar4–1Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
11 AprUtrecht4–1TelstarEredivisie
04 AprTelstar0–2GroningenEredivisie
22 MarTelstar3–1PSV EindhovenEredivisie
14 MarHeerenveen3–0TelstarEredivisie
5Win31%
4Draw25%
7Lost44%
LAST MATCHESHeracles
03 MayPEC Zwolle1–0HeraclesEredivisie
26 AprHeracles0–2FC VolendamEredivisie
11 AprHeracles0–3AjaxEredivisie
05 AprHeerenveen4–1HeraclesEredivisie
20 MarHeracles1–1ExcelsiorEredivisie
15 MarAZ Alkmaar4–0HeraclesEredivisie
1Win6%
3Draw19%
12Lost75%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTelstar
No reported absences
Heracles
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Telstar Win1.32 (71.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.38 (64.8%)
Both Teams Score1.61 (58%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.89 (35.2%)
BTTS No2.17 (42%)
Speculative
Draw5.37 (16.7%)
Heracles Win7.63 (11.6%)
