Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
#13 · Eredivisie
LLDLL
VS
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
PEC Zwolle
#12 · Eredivisie
WLDLW
★ OUR PICK
Fortuna Sittard to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over PEC Zwolle make Fortuna Sittard the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.07
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.03 for Fortuna Sittard to Win. Our model calculates a 42.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Fortuna Sittard will face PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Fortuna Sittard has a 42.8% probability of winning this match. PEC Zwolle has a 36.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.9%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Fortuna Sittard42.8%2.03
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.566.7%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes67.3%1.38
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.87
12.8%
2-1
8.45
11.9%
2-2
10.18
9.9%
1-2
10.63
9.5%
1-0
12.16
8.3%
2-0
12.97
7.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.03 | Draw 3.85 | Away 3.13 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.40 | Under 2.80 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.10 | Under 6.02 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.03 | Under 1.76 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.38 | No 2.83 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.34 | 12 1.23 | X2 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.7%
Over 1.5 Goals84.5%
Over 2.5 Goals66.7%
Over 3.5 Goals46.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 92 | 43 | 49 | 78 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 61 | WWDDD |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 74 | 50 | 24 | 56 | DDDWD |
| 4 |  Ajax | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 55 | DWWLD |
| 5 |  Twente | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 55 | DDWWW |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 | DDWWL |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 37 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 36 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 31 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 18 |  Heracles | 32 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 34 | 80 | -46 | 19 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFortuna SittardPEC Zwolle
1.56Goals p.g.1.38
2.06Goals conceded p.g.1.88
0%Clean sheets12%
31%Win rate25%
3.62Avg goals in match3.25
Recent Results
Fortuna SittardLAST MATCHES
03 MayFortuna Sittard1–2FeyenoordEredivisie
25 AprHeerenveen2–1Fortuna SittardEredivisie
12 AprFortuna Sittard1–1NAC BredaEredivisie
04 AprAZ Alkmaar2–0Fortuna SittardEredivisie
21 MarFortuna Sittard1–2TwenteEredivisie
14 MarFC Volendam1–2Fortuna SittardEredivisie
5Win31%
3Draw19%
8Lost50%
LAST MATCHESPEC Zwolle
03 MayPEC Zwolle1–0HeraclesEredivisie
23 AprPSV Eindhoven6–1PEC ZwolleEredivisie
12 AprPEC Zwolle2–2ExcelsiorEredivisie
05 AprGO Ahead Eagles5–0PEC ZwolleEredivisie
21 MarPEC Zwolle2–1NAC BredaEredivisie
13 MarPEC Zwolle1–1GroningenEredivisie
4Win25%
6Draw38%
6Lost38%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFortuna Sittard
No reported absences
PEC Zwolle
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.40 (66.7%)
Both Teams Score1.38 (67.3%)
Value Bets
Fortuna Sittard Win2.03 (42.8%)
PEC Zwolle Win3.13 (36.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.80 (33.3%)
BTTS No2.83 (32.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.85 (20.9%)
