Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
#2 · Eredivisie
WWDDD
VS
De Kuip, Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
#6 · Eredivisie
DDWDW
★ OUR PICK
Feyenoord to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over AZ Alkmaar make Feyenoord the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.83
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.80 for Feyenoord to Win. Our model calculates a 51.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Feyenoord will face AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie at De Kuip.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Feyenoord has a 51.5% probability of winning this match. AZ Alkmaar has a 27.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Feyenoord51.5%1.80
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes64.5%1.39
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
8.23
12.2%
2-1
8.29
12.1%
2-2
10.43
9.7%
3-1
11.39
8.9%
1-2
11.95
8.5%
2-0
11.91
8.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.80 | Draw 4.00 | Away 3.74 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.39 | Under 2.84 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.10 | Under 6.13 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.99 | Under 1.80 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.39 | No 2.77 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.25 | 12 1.21 | X2 1.96 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.8%
Over 1.5 Goals84.7%
Over 2.5 Goals64%
Over 3.5 Goals47.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 92 | 43 | 49 | 78 | DWWWL |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 61 | WWDDD |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 74 | 50 | 24 | 56 | DDDWD |
| 4 |  Ajax | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 55 | DWWLD |
| 5 |  Twente | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 55 | DDWWW |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 | DDWWL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 31 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 18 |  Heracles | 32 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 34 | 80 | -46 | 19 | LLLLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFeyenoordAZ Alkmaar
1.69Goals p.g.1.9
1.38Goals conceded p.g.1.19
25%Clean sheets29%
50%Win rate52%
3.06Avg goals in match3.1
Recent Results
FeyenoordLAST MATCHES
03 MayFortuna Sittard1–2FeyenoordEredivisie
25 AprFeyenoord3–1GroningenEredivisie
12 AprNEC Nijmegen1–1FeyenoordEredivisie
05 AprFC Volendam0–0FeyenoordEredivisie
22 MarFeyenoord1–1AjaxEredivisie
15 MarFeyenoord2–1ExcelsiorEredivisie
8Win50%
4Draw25%
4Lost25%
LAST MATCHESAZ Alkmaar
03 MayAZ Alkmaar2–2TwenteEredivisie
23 AprGO Ahead Eagles0–0AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
19 AprAZ Alkmaar5–1NEC NijmegenKNVB Beker
16 AprAZ Alkmaar2–2Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Europa Conference League
12 AprAZ Alkmaar3–0HeerenveenEredivisie
09 AprShakhtar Donetsk3–0AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa Conference League
11Win52%
4Draw19%
6Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFeyenoord
No reported absences
AZ Alkmaar
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.39 (64%)
Both Teams Score1.39 (64.5%)
Value Bets
Feyenoord Win1.80 (51.5%)
AZ Alkmaar Win3.74 (27.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.84 (36%)
BTTS No2.77 (35.5%)
Speculative
Draw4.00 (20.6%)
